Fed Rates · resolved market
Will Jerome Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December FOMC Press Conference?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x875b45f4674fc4e352139032ce7a157c81dfc2ec1e9883d9321d4238761b5840
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6cf9…9d9fbacked Yes | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,099.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +155.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…0626backed No | 14c | 7,142$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 23cpaid | +220.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a9…48b9backed No | 14c | 5,714$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 20cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…3d87backed No | 72c | 4,888$3,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,506.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a3…046ebacked No | 14c | 4,284$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 11c | 3,963$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,544.93 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 13c | 2,998$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 11c | 2,973$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,643.93 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ac…8669backed Yes | 12c | 2,612$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab2…6539backed Yes | 11c | 2,479$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…6e32backed Yes | 12c | 2,141$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +765.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf03e…ad07backed Yes | 5c | 2,030$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…762dbacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +875.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 17c | 2,000$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.23 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f66…4f72backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2a…a436backed Yes | 11c | 1,976$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.94 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f11…157abacked Yes | 13c | 1,943$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b3…ade0backed Yes | 12c | 1,867$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,742$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.61 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…50aebacked No | 14c | 1,714$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e6…801bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,706$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd69…a2e1backed Yes | 14c | 1,705$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Yes | 13c | 1,541$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…426bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,425$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +233.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc331…1d71backed Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.33 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…9817backed Yes | 16c | 1,268$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Yes | 15c | 1,158$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.35 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d59…5575backed Yes | 14c | 1,123$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…d3f8backed Yes | 14c | 1,028$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…78c7backed Yes | 12c | 838.46$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +746.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd3…f996backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes | 11c | 799$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 16cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f60…92debacked Yes | 13c | 790.93$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +678.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73de…c4fabacked Yes | 10c | 780.36$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +462.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3d…f0c9backed Yes | 10c | 769.92$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…ae05backed Yes | 13c | 754.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +277%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde0…a9fcbacked Yes | 9c | 600$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…8e95backed Yes | 12c | 600$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fa…de00backed Yes | 13c | 589.77$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1849…aca9backed Yes | 15c | 544.35$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…8167backed No | 14c | 535$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8a…67d7backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e7…ea7ebacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d2…e372backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabec…e25cbacked Yes | 12c | 466.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 11c | 465.75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.63 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe38b…4552backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e6…bee0backed Yes | 12c | 441.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd9…76bdbacked Yes | 14c | 435.07$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf414…917fbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…511bbacked Yes | 18c | 400$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9588…d801backed Yes | 11c | 400$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +193%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…ef97backed Yes | 8c | 356.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.66 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 12c | 355.7$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.94 | 64 | 12.5%8 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc39a…2214backed Yes | 8c | 301.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4639…ab5dbacked Yes | 11c | 261.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 8c | 231.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.4 | 200 | 21.5%43 W · 157 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x741f…f6cabacked Yes | 19c | 230.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…a3eebacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6106…5cd3backed Yes | 12c | 213.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +304.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa72…1285backed Yes | 18c | 200$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe783…aa3abacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae7…85d6backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked Yes | 15c | 194.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.44 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6147…f8dcbacked Yes | 11c | 189$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e23…e24cbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…94b1backed Yes | 10c | 179.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +400%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…9e7abacked Yes | 12c | 167.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +318.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…18c5backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5b…6848backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce7…dbedbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6411…9f41backed Yes | 14c | 161.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac3…3189backed Yes | 12c | 159.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50da…0b82backed Yes | 12c | 157.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc726…c39abacked Yes | 10c | 145.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb281…e048backed Yes | 13c | 141.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x155f…82a7backed Yes | 11c | 140$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…1aa6backed Yes | 12c | 136$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9b…7fe0backed Yes | 12c | 128.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5c…8283backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +391.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf45f…2634backed Yes | 18c | 123.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf1…ee1dbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac4…ccd6backed Yes | 15c | 110.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43eb…49febacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Yes | 12c | 102.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +184.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…d0c1backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +211.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…b930backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +157.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e8…4cdebacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 18cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…89cfbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…6034backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +156.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59ef…5191backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dc…d0f9backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…c725backed Yes | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jerome Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December FOMC Press Conference?this page
- Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during December FOMC Press Conference?No won
- Will Jerome Powell say "cut" 7 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?Yes won
- Will Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during December FOMC Press Conference?Yes won
- Will Jerome Powell say "growth" 10 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?No won
- Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?Yes won
- Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?Yes won
- Will Jerome Powell say "price" 10 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?Yes won
- Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?No won
- Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference?Yes won
- Will Jerome Powell say "unemployment" 5 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.