Champions League · resolved market
Will Club Brugge beat Manchester City?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bb3246b5bc53cc893664244e194a73b92edff905bff5a4fc03c3df3c5a37d2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 22c | 1,853$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.62 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 78c | 1,724$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.36 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 68c | 1,055$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.8 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Yes | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 33c | 564.28$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.58 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba99…8f26backed Yes | 6c | 560$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked No | 77c | 441.8$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.03 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 74c | 270$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.9 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 5c | 254.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed No | 78c | 231.07$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 29c | 209.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked No | 71c | 144.38$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 44c | 142$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…c665backed No | 78c | 126.92$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 55c | 102$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked Yes | 27c | 78.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Yes | 27c | 78.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd74f…674fbacked Yes | 28c | 71.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…0f5cbacked No | 72c | 51.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e2…806fbacked No | 78c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…b51ebacked No | 79c | 26.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Brugge beat Manchester City?this page
- Will Manchester City beat Club Brugge?Yes won
- Will the match between Manchester City and Club Brugge end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.