Champions League · resolved market
Will Manchester City beat Club Brugge?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52b8eafb657cf9ee3206a13be0bf551d31d129ba4f6b4475ad663728581bebc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 31c | 8,060$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.73 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 72c | 7,796$5,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.91 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 19c | 7,355$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.37 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 19c | 5,240$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.68 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 24c | 4,809$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.61 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 18c | 4,711$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.18 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 18c | 4,119$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.34 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 18c | 2,366$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.42 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.99 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 18c | 1,592$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.16 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 25c | 1,396$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.69 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 16c | 1,298$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.57 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 17c | 1,101$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.42 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,022$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.17 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 21c | 828.42$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.73 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde32…700cbacked Yes | 63c | 800$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Yes | 69c | 772.46$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.46 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…863dbacked No | 18c | 588.89$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbceb…bd96backed Yes | 48c | 519.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.02 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 51c | 423.94$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.21 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba99…8f26backed No | 27c | 340$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4d…5105backed Yes | 49c | 290.8$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 16c | 254.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49dc…9830backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked No | 20c | 160.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…2572backed No | 27c | 150.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed No | 18c | 149.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked No | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…c665backed Yes | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…a44bbacked Yes | 49c | 128.57$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b56…0a24backed Yes | 65c | 122.16$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64a…21dabacked Yes | 48c | 105.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce62…73d5backed Yes | 48c | 104.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 48c | 92.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…37d7backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 18c | 79.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…6975backed No | 29c | 71.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…94d6backed No | 20c | 70.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…a550backed Yes | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Yes | 48c | 52.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe847…f8bdbacked Yes | 49c | 50.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7423…b130backed Yes | 49c | 50.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedfe…4b2cbacked Yes | 53c | 49.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef6c…c709backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c83…9015backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3c…bb23backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…a515backed Yes | 73c | 39.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb92e…7af8backed No | 52c | 37.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 47c | 32.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes | 48c | 32.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15d6…7ce7backed Yes | 48c | 32.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…9143backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd731…a41dbacked Yes | 64c | 21.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b9…9277backed No | 56c | 19.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84e1…3d3fbacked Yes | 78c | 14.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City beat Club Brugge?this page
- Will Club Brugge beat Manchester City?No won
- Will the match between Manchester City and Club Brugge end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.