MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5da494aec62ad30096ae1a038c44ba8476762c946cdb2a6b963f83e8faab0acc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Cardinals, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc605…d372backed Pirates | 60c | 19,414$11,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,759.31 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Pirates | 42c | 8,411$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,841.3 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Pirates | 60c | 7,700$4,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.89 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cardinals | 52c | 7,001$3,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,641.17 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Cardinals | 47c | 6,990$3,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,303.9 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cardinals | 42c | 6,770$2,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,827.59 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates | 58c | 4,226$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.81 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cardinals | 48c | 3,942$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.23 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Cardinals | 40c | 3,374$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.17 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Cardinals | 48c | 3,021$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.85 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Cardinals | 40c | 2,556$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.42 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9850…4708backed Cardinals | 28c | 2,499$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.84 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 35c | 2,209$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.17 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Cardinals | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.82 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Pirates | 58c | 1,959$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.97 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Cardinals | 42c | 1,859$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.79 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 49c | 1,723$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.71 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Pirates | 59c | 1,711$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.64 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Pirates | 49c | 1,612$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.75 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Cardinals | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Cardinals | 25c | 1,171$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.96 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Pirates | 53c | 1,131$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.94 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Cardinals | 42c | 1,076$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.06 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Cardinals | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Cardinals | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 41c | 795.04$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.74 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Cardinals | 36c | 791.19$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.07 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Pirates | 59c | 742.68$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.5 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…8590backed Cardinals | 47c | 702.3$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.68 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Pirates | 60c | 665$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Cardinals | 40c | 646.45$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.58 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…10c2backed Cardinals | 16c | 630.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Cardinals | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Cardinals | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cardinals | 39c | 499.9$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.96 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Cardinals | 42c | 478.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 40c | 421.61$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.93 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Pirates | 60c | 414.98$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.99 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pirates | 52c | 405.92$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.87 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Pirates | 52c | 356.41$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.1 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Cardinals | 39c | 339$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.21 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Pirates | 56c | 336$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.36 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Cardinals | 14c | 302.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cardinals | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cardinals | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cardinals | 18c | 254.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Cardinals | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…273bbacked Cardinals | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Cardinals | 41c | 244.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Cardinals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Cardinals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…6479backed Pirates | 60c | 236.68$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.67 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Pirates | 52c | 213.52$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.52 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0913…8be9backed Pirates | 60c | 213$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…ff2dbacked Pirates | 60c | 208$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cardinals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Pirates | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Pirates | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Pirates | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cardinals | 39c | 199.92$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals | 43c | 193.54$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.96 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Pirates | 54c | 171$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.42 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…2beabacked Pirates | 61c | 170$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbc…5d23backed Pirates | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Pirates | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Cardinals | 42c | 159.31$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.91 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…da1dbacked Pirates | 60c | 156$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…58c1backed Cardinals | 41c | 145$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3693…78b1backed Cardinals | 41c | 139$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Cardinals | 40c | 137.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…a30dbacked Cardinals | 40c | 131.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf816…629ebacked Cardinals | 41c | 128$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Cardinals | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Cardinals | 46c | 123.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe3…dcf6backed Pirates | 60c | 123$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…c205backed Cardinals | 40c | 122.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Pirates | 58c | 121$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Cardinals | 52c | 120.28$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfa…b7b1backed Cardinals | 40c | 120.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -11.5wins | -0.31per pick | 58cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Cardinals | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Cardinals | 49c | 118.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…1326backed Cardinals | 41c | 118$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb97…add3backed Cardinals | 43c | 114.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Cardinals | 50c | 106.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Pirates | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8d…92acbacked Cardinals | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef5…6014backed Cardinals | 59c | 99.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…bd1ebacked Pirates | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Cardinals | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Cardinals | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Cardinals | 42c | 93.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac46…ca4abacked Cardinals | 53c | 90.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4798…f13ebacked Pirates | 61c | 90.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0240…0f61backed Pirates | 61c | 89.61$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…55a6backed Cardinals | 40c | 88.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x214d…23f2backed Pirates | 61c | 86.57$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9577…81c4backed Cardinals | 40c | 84.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…8238backed Pirates | 61c | 83.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.