MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42dfd3ed3670aa4ead79a22d556e184c27a8aed3c103f55031353f08b736a13c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Twins, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $473,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $524,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $473,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x343d…456ebacked Twins | 52c | 264,635$136,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136,581.63 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Marlins | 49c | 60,060$29,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,630.55 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Marlins | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,000 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 48c | 39,550$18,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,566 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Marlins | 70c | 31,771$22,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,470.61 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Marlins | 48c | 29,482$14,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,330.73 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Marlins | 49c | 22,500$11,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,475 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Marlins | 48c | 20,793$9,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,812.12 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Twins | 10c | 19,374$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.77 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 28c | 14,606$4,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,152.97 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ae…f0d4backed Marlins | 48c | 9,996$4,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,197.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0699…e325backed Twins | 52c | 9,996$5,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,197.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x704a…7c42backed Marlins | 50c | 9,052$4,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,520.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Twins | 23c | 7,559$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.07 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 48c | 6,880$3,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,560.79 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 48c | 6,748$3,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,508.76 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Twins | 51c | 6,617$3,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,375.93 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Twins | 2c | 6,303$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.07 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Marlins | 48c | 4,800$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Marlins | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Marlins | 48c | 3,865$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.87 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Marlins | 49c | 3,765$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.15 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 18c | 3,687$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Marlins | 78c | 3,532$2,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.05 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Marlins | 49c | 2,529$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.02 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Twins | 2c | 2,209$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Marlins | 59c | 2,190$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.53 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Twins | 54c | 2,121$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.2 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Twins | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Twins | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Marlins | 48c | 1,888$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.76 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Marlins | 52c | 1,884$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.19 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Twins | 52c | 1,850$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.99 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Twins | 21c | 1,795$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.91 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Marlins | 49c | 1,650$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.17 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Twins | 3c | 1,410$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76df…de4fbacked Twins | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Twins | 1c | 1,325$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…9c67backed Marlins | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +63%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…e826backed Marlins | 48c | 1,300$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…f263backed Twins | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Twins | 24c | 1,286$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.39 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c23…f642backed Twins | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.09 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4743backed Marlins | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0f…949abacked Marlins | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Twins | 5c | 1,101$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccf…12e0backed Twins | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Marlins | 69c | 1,080$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.68 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Twins | 9c | 952.9$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.23 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Marlins | 48c | 832.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.15 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…3332backed Twins | 19c | 782.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…0ab2backed Marlins | 63c | 685.31$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.7 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Twins | 52c | 670.63$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.73 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Twins | 37c | 668.31$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Twins | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x467a…0727backed Twins | 53c | 534.48$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.18 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Twins | 53c | 533.21$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.6 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6497…e879backed Marlins | 50c | 510$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Twins | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Twins | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Twins | 11c | 459.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Marlins | 49c | 443.36$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.47 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Marlins | 75c | 422$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Twins | 52c | 411.94$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.21 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Twins | 52c | 408.7$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.13 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Twins | 25c | 389.68$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Marlins | 47c | 386.96$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.09 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Twins | 14c | 377$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Marlins | 48c | 366$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.32 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Twins | 50c | 358.65$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.33 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Twins | 4c | 350.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Twins | 11c | 339.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a7…f88dbacked Marlins | 49c | 325.78$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.15 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Marlins | 48c | 310$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.18 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Twins | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Marlins | 50c | 264.76$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.38 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Twins | 52c | 255.73$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Twins | 48c | 235.87$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Marlins | 75c | 231.98$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Marlins | 48c | 223.68$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.31 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Marlins | 49c | 219.06$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.72 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Marlins | 48c | 207.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…bb74backed Twins | 51c | 205.61$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Marlins | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Marlins | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Marlins | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…ed7ebacked Marlins | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Marlins | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Twins | 51c | 198$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Marlins | 49c | 198$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Twins | 51c | 195.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Twins | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Twins | 16c | 147.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Twins | 37c | 136.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked Marlins | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x794f…5818backed Marlins | 70c | 128.45$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…efaebacked Twins | 37c | 127.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.