Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeffdb342fc7714a453a0e70999c145d4e69843a262386d9077c323fa07149414
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas Jayhawksof Tennessee Volunteers, Kansas Jayhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,313,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,307,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,313,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1af1…0f7bbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 59c | 1,052,493$617,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617,781.93 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Kansas Jayhawks | 42c | 910,545$378,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532,496.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 56c | 204,199$114,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114,267.48 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Kansas Jayhawks | 42c | 120,000$50,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,600 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Kansas Jayhawks | 42c | 114,600$48,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,002.33 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 43c | 42,500$18,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,400 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Kansas Jayhawks | 44c | 34,027$14,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,055.12 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 45c | 26,483$11,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,672.64 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Kansas Jayhawks | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Kansas Jayhawks | 41c | 15,555$6,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,177.45 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 43c | 10,357$4,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,873.29 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Kansas Jayhawks | 41c | 7,435$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,386.65 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Kansas Jayhawks | 45c | 1,720$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 42c | 1,129$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.25 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf909…2b17backed Tennessee Volunteers | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…d786backed Tennessee Volunteers | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9763…3915backed Tennessee Volunteers | 57c | 301.75$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 55c | 130$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…73acbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 45c | 130$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Tennessee Volunteers | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Kansas Jayhawks | 42c | 93.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kansas Jayhawks | 43c | 81.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a2…0ff7backed Tennessee Volunteers | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f9…edbfbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18cc…1ffabacked Tennessee Volunteers | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 57c | 17.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-5.5)this page
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Tennessee VolunteersKansas Jayhawks won
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-6.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.