Kansas Jayhawks vs. Tennessee Volunteers

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x089e6b14bbfc590a649453ccace4d4d784ef64ab9d0ffa998427138dc553ac09

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Kansas Jayhawksof Kansas Jayhawks, Tennessee Volunteers
Resolved: Nov 26, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $148,682
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $144,357

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,682 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Kansas Jayhawks	23c	57,832$13,436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44,395.27	691	42.8%296 W · 395 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Tennessee Volunteers	74c	45,665$33,692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,691.52	2,579	47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L	-42.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Kansas Jayhawks	25c	25,655$6,511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,144.61	217	54.8%119 W · 98 L	+15.3wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Kansas Jayhawks	27c	8,218$2,219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,999.06	136	49.3%67 W · 69 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Kansas Jayhawks	22c	6,000$1,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,659.99	226	45.6%103 W · 123 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kansas Jayhawks	26c	5,000$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,700	906	45.4%411 W · 495 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Kansas Jayhawks	18c	3,830$671 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,159.47	1,420	43.9%623 W · 797 L	+8.4wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kansas Jayhawks	29c	2,854$826 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,027.26	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kansas Jayhawks	22c	2,247$491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,755.65	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Kansas Jayhawks	26c	2,114$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,564.36	128	53.1%68 W · 60 L	+8.2wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Kansas Jayhawks	26c	2,000$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,480	50	54%27 W · 23 L	+5.6wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Kansas Jayhawks	13c	1,639$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,429.92	3,684	42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L	+32.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Kansas Jayhawks	27c	1,282$346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$935.86	490	43.1%211 W · 279 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kansas Jayhawks	23c	1,201$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$926.26	5,553	47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L	+26.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x76fc…e0bdbacked Kansas Jayhawks	26c	1,200$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$888	51	37.3%19 W · 32 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kansas Jayhawks	30c	1,015$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$710.56	4,848	52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L	+139.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kansas Jayhawks	26c	1,000$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$740	96	41.7%40 W · 56 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Kansas Jayhawks	29c	961$278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$682.75	1,391	44.1%613 W · 778 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Kansas Jayhawks	28c	800$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$576	1,227	27.8%341 W · 886 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8bf…a760backed Tennessee Volunteers	73c	684.93$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.73per pick	73cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Tennessee Volunteers	71c	664$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.44	334	38.9%130 W · 204 L	-16.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Kansas Jayhawks	29c	640$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$454.4	160	53.8%86 W · 74 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Kansas Jayhawks	28c	543.47$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390.62	1,173	25.2%296 W · 877 L	-43.0wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Tennessee Volunteers	77c	532.05$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.56	159	39%62 W · 97 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Kansas Jayhawks	14c	531.13$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$456.86	98	56.1%55 W · 43 L	+7.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+52.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Tennessee Volunteers	75c	488$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366	415	54.2%225 W · 190 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Kansas Jayhawks	29c	424.14$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.14	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Kansas Jayhawks	26c	400$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296	1,260	43.3%545 W · 715 L	+34.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Tennessee Volunteers	71c	313.37$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.49	114	39.5%45 W · 69 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Kansas Jayhawks	26c	300$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222	141	51.1%72 W · 69 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x261b…b32bbacked Tennessee Volunteers	70c	287.43$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	63cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Kansas Jayhawks	27c	244.81$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.9	196	57.1%112 W · 84 L	+14.9wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tennessee Volunteers	80c	220.12$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.78	5,946	49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L	+163.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f02…7104backed Kansas Jayhawks	29c	207.84$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.84	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.64per pick	36cpaid	+189.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x789e…fd45backed Kansas Jayhawks	26c	200$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.74per pick	26cpaid	+284.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Kansas Jayhawks	26c	200$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x736e…3ac9backed Kansas Jayhawks	25c	197.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.99	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Kansas Jayhawks	18c	196.75$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.75	429	34.3%147 W · 282 L	+21.3wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Kansas Jayhawks	32c	170$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.6	323	37.2%120 W · 203 L	-8.5wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d04…cfc5backed Tennessee Volunteers	74c	161.51$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.52	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	73cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Kansas Jayhawks	30c	150$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	1,487	43%639 W · 848 L	+50.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d74…244ebacked Tennessee Volunteers	71c	140.85$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.6wins	-0.36per pick	65cpaid	-59.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x00be…5acabacked Tennessee Volunteers	73c	136.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.73per pick	73cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a46…156ebacked Kansas Jayhawks	8c	125$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.92per pick	8cpaid	+1,150%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kansas Jayhawks	30c	116$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.5	2,048	32.7%670 W · 1,378 L	-16.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Kansas Jayhawks	32c	100$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68	1,070	46.9%502 W · 568 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Kansas Jayhawks	19c	100$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.4	456	44.5%203 W · 253 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd64…cbeebacked Kansas Jayhawks	63c	100$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fd4…6ebcbacked Kansas Jayhawks	12c	100$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.23per pick	28cpaid	+316.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Kansas Jayhawks	27c	88$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.24	349	47.9%167 W · 182 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9492…1f25backed Kansas Jayhawks	32c	80.3$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.3	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb100…439dbacked Kansas Jayhawks	29c	68.97$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.97	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba8…11a2backed Tennessee Volunteers	72c	66$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.52	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf87…a5a9backed Tennessee Volunteers	44c	45.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda20…0cbebacked Tennessee Volunteers	80c	42.81$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.18	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.21per pick	59cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Tennessee Volunteers	71c	36.56$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.96	70	57.1%40 W · 30 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Tennessee Volunteers	74c	36.49$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9452…b685backed Tennessee Volunteers	69c	33.57$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.02	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Tennessee Volunteers	67c	30.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.3	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-5.6wins	-0.21per pick	50cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Tennessee Volunteers	73c	18.47$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.48	190	55.3%105 W · 85 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Kansas Jayhawks vs. Tennessee Volunteersthis page
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-5.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-6.5)Kansas Jayhawks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Kansas Jayhawks vs. Tennessee Volunteers

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event