TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Pelicans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuggetsof Nuggets, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$272,444
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$261,965

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $272,444 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2317…c891backed Nuggets47c56,934$26,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,979.4911842.4%50 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pelicans37c32,123$11,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,970.8365642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Pelicans39c23,973$9,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,466.9670147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Pelicans1c15,500$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.0272241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pelicans47c10,071$4,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,710.481,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x62c1…9c35backed Pelicans19c8,465$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.311330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-53%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Pelicans20c8,276$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.9477745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Pelicans65c7,627$4,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,960.6826547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f59…a01abacked Nuggets62c4,462$2,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,687.588561.2%52 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pelicans19c3,864$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.211,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7685…e082backed Pelicans2c3,645$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.654316.3%7 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+102.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans21c3,589$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.961,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x536d…c06bbacked Pelicans21c3,107$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa38…ffb3backed Nuggets41c3,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,78010925.7%28 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans42c2,962$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.751,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Pelicans19c2,825$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.7446131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Nuggets42c2,541$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.061,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Nuggets45c2,430$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.5626235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Pelicans47c2,059$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.7970951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Pelicans73c1,830$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.1615234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x18a8…4527backed Nuggets79c1,800$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+80.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f46…5ba3backed Nuggets64c1,731$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.06933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-37.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pelicans1c1,666$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.321,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b3b5backed Nuggets55c1,661$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.594436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets78c1,556$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.2596447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Pelicans25c1,485$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.1321649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Nuggets73c1,289$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.531,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Nuggets79c1,263$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.7328063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Nuggets79c1,143$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.6384957.6%489 W · 360 L-52.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2758…66e1backed Nuggets79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…d7fcbacked Pelicans21c999.95$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.991241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed Pelicans22c999.54$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.68040%32 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce54…90bcbacked Pelicans20c979.99$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1962343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7e6…f8a4backed Pelicans23c955.22$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Pelicans54c918.04$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007363%46 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1efd…1106backed Nuggets76c858.17$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.171376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nuggets61c813.45$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.781,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Pelicans19c792.68$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5829043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd152…a8c7backed Pelicans20c751.25$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcede…d9ebbacked Nuggets56c712.07$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.075366%35 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7742…03e9backed Pelicans75c700$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52519939.2%78 W · 121 L-17.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed Nuggets79c690$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.916160.9%98 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Pelicans20c689.08$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.7233752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x728d…9d3dbacked Nuggets79c678.48$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.48580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+57.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d85…483cbacked Nuggets72c644.11$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.441553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans45c635.96$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.231,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae09…fa6dbacked Nuggets80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1252360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x624f…2fa6backed Nuggets54c615.88$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.995536.4%20 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91f7…0108backed Pelicans28c609.24$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.591464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb4…d00fbacked Nuggets79c600$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12610151.5%52 W · 49 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d92…4b39backed Pelicans56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3369035.6%32 W · 58 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc26f…7055backed Nuggets73c600$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1625468.5%37 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1edd…f21ebacked Pelicans20c599.97$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.994835.4%17 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Nuggets32c598.61$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.0529858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Nuggets62c547.3$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.315763.1%99 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Nuggets27c545$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.747535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Pelicans43c543.38$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.6830331.4%95 W · 208 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac62…023bbacked Nuggets66c539.53$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.111250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d54…2386backed Nuggets79c506.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.334456.8%25 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Nuggets40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3009946.5%46 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Pelicans20c499.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10075347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6afa…8f06backed Nuggets79c498.41$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.671770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+38.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Pelicans63c477.28$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.1130954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51e5…e26cbacked Pelicans72c471.06$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.1512651.6%65 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Nuggets48c465$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.411457%65 W · 49 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78da…9d47backed Nuggets51c452.99$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.646851.5%35 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Nuggets80c449.58$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.0385347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb90e…5794backed Nuggets77c434$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.827263.9%46 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Nuggets42c432$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.4437831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Nuggets78c430$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.646928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa986…2c8ebacked Pelicans73c410.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Nuggets67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13235165.2%229 W · 122 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ac…b899backed Pelicans21c400$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Pelicans19c400$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7839843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bc1…06edbacked Nuggets55c394.43$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.2388335.3%312 W · 571 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Pelicans34c387.14$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13038942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Pelicans19c364.47$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9911150.5%56 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+41.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb9cb…579fbacked Nuggets69c361.34$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Pelicans19c360.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9945251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea5f…8d3dbacked Pelicans51c360$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.6650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Pelicans19c351.51$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6815947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Nuggets73c347.47$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8248137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b9b…2274backed Nuggets67c345.17$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.791758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb91…b665backed Nuggets80c320$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b0a…66a5backed Pelicans20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x542e…e88ebacked Pelicans19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5714941.6%62 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Nuggets63c298.72$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.061,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Nuggets79c297.32$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4429148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…3868backed Nuggets77c292.21$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.213100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8117…3405backed Nuggets79c281.01$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.011060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+61.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9228…8cfbbacked Pelicans20c280$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-50%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x082b…5e67backed Pelicans69c267.83$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.4928256.7%160 W · 122 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3a3…7838backed Nuggets79c264.1$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.467252.8%38 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Pelicans21c257.23$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0226933.5%90 W · 179 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe91d…81dfbacked Nuggets79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.164573.3%33 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9732…dd65backed Nuggets79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.16650%3 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Pelicans76c250$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19017464.9%113 W · 61 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x198b…3bcabacked Nuggets79c233.22$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.982661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x900d…2961backed Pelicans45c218$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.13571.4%25 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf2…26e5backed Nuggets79c214.83$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.653066.7%20 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.