MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0d3d626fa74a0c98bfa1231d6269fc95842584a07fd4f99385150da1e488e94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Padres, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cardinals | 45c | 11,299$5,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,244.45 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Cardinals | 48c | 10,154$4,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,234.22 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Padres | 49c | 9,316$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Padres | 55c | 8,555$4,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,705.25 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 46c | 7,184$3,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,897.21 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cardinals | 45c | 5,402$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,971.35 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 60c | 4,894$2,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Padres | 53c | 4,679$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Padres | 54c | 4,592$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Padres | 55c | 4,546$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Padres | 54c | 4,178$2,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256.27 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cardinals | 62c | 3,764$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.46 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Padres | 55c | 3,424$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.36 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Cardinals | 43c | 2,632$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.12 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Cardinals | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.99 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Padres | 57c | 2,323$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.11 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Cardinals | 45c | 2,100$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Padres | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Padres | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 11c | 1,791$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.74 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Padres | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.97 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Padres | 15c | 1,710$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…f649backed Padres | 57c | 1,596$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cardinals | 56c | 1,524$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.85 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Padres | 41c | 1,512$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.26 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Padres | 56c | 1,501$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.47 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…d35bbacked Cardinals | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2192…b0cabacked Cardinals | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe923…e0fabacked Padres | 57c | 1,404$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Padres | 32c | 1,218$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.08 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Padres | 54c | 1,095$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.38 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Padres | 9c | 1,025$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.24 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Padres | 35c | 1,001$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.14 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8da…f944backed Padres | 24c | 799.24$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Padres | 54c | 772.22$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417 | 623 | 46.2%288 W · 335 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Padres | 54c | 699.99$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Cardinals | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cardinals | 62c | 651$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.27 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Cardinals | 46c | 645.17$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.39 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Padres | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Padres | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals | 63c | 569.25$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.7 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cardinals | 46c | 555.25$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.06 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Padres | 54c | 525$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.5 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Padres | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Cardinals | 46c | 499.98$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Padres | 54c | 407.41$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…d3f7backed Padres | 58c | 328.41$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4286…6f78backed Padres | 57c | 310.53$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cardinals | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Padres | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cardinals | 46c | 265$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.1 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Padres | 54c | 253$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Padres | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 44c | 248.89$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.13 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Padres | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 546 | 54.9%300 W · 246 L | +12.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Padres | 58c | 227.72$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Padres | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Padres | 54c | 218$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.72 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Padres | 50c | 201$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Padres | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Padres | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Cardinals | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Padres | 55c | 191.42$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.28 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Padres | 17c | 183.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Padres | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Cardinals | 66c | 162.88$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Padres | 54c | 156$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cardinals | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…6255backed Padres | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…9841backed Padres | 55c | 134.07$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5afb…57d0backed Cardinals | 43c | 130$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7125…8b04backed Padres | 57c | 130$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70c2…5b6bbacked Cardinals | 43c | 126$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…9ae6backed Padres | 57c | 126$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Cardinals | 75c | 125.62$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1f…9f1abacked Padres | 57c | 125$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -57%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8822…73e9backed Cardinals | 43c | 125$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3558…1e67backed Cardinals | 44c | 122.93$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.84 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Cardinals | 45c | 122$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Padres | 42c | 120.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x367f…c41abacked Padres | 57c | 120.42$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b9…1d0fbacked Cardinals | 47c | 116.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Padres | 55c | 110.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9898…c894backed Cardinals | 44c | 108.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Padres | 55c | 103.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…7da4backed Padres | 57c | 102.79$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…3befbacked Cardinals | 46c | 101.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Padres | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x144a…ecd8backed Cardinals | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd19a…1a2dbacked Padres | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Cardinals | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Padres | 12c | 99.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…9480backed Cardinals | 44c | 98.73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ec…80e2backed Cardinals | 47c | 98.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ec…db90backed Padres | 55c | 95.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.