MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7a40fdc5a2cf732351e370b9440c39e14def5cc77a85e5af74774ffa9faf473
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Brewers, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers | 56c | 22,024$12,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,742.81 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 48c | 10,741$5,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,131.23 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cardinals | 43c | 8,913$3,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,832.57 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cardinals | 43c | 7,500$3,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,225 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Cardinals | 43c | 5,309$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.76 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Brewers | 50c | 4,329$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.75 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 47c | 4,237$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.53 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cardinals | 43c | 4,162$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.66 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Brewers | 50c | 4,132$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.38 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Brewers | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 56c | 1,749$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.62 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Cardinals | 43c | 1,669$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.64 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cardinals | 43c | 1,614$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.02 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Brewers | 56c | 1,604$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.66 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Brewers | 61c | 1,524$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.72 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…b575backed Cardinals | 43c | 1,205$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cardinals | 47c | 1,160$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.45 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Cardinals | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cardinals | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Brewers | 51c | 898.56$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.29 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Brewers | 57c | 877$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.11 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Cardinals | 56c | 866.86$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Brewers | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Cardinals | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Brewers | 56c | 699.97$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.99 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals | 39c | 655.35$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.14 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Cardinals | 44c | 641.05$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.26 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Brewers | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…20c5backed Brewers | 59c | 600$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Brewers | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Cardinals | 43c | 560.91$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.19 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals | 47c | 528.14$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.57 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Brewers | 34c | 511.78$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.76 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Brewers | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Brewers | 58c | 494.26$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.29 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Cardinals | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Brewers | 47c | 379.25$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.26 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Brewers | 51c | 375$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.77 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Cardinals | 54c | 371.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Brewers | 56c | 356.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.07 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cardinals | 43c | 356.92$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.48 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Brewers | 52c | 348.12$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.1 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Brewers | 63c | 335.84$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.84 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cardinals | 43c | 333.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.61 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Brewers | 48c | 300$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.5 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cardinals | 44c | 255.3$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.33 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Brewers | 43c | 254.97$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Brewers | 56c | 249.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.78 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cardinals | 44c | 236.36$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cardinals | 44c | 216.3$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.17 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Brewers | 46c | 216.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.08 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Brewers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Brewers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x289d…6576backed Brewers | 57c | 198.25$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Cardinals | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…fd12backed Cardinals | 50c | 179.58$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Brewers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…7ddabacked Brewers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -8.0wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Brewers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Brewers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Cardinals | 44c | 138.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Brewers | 57c | 136.96$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Cardinals | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Brewers | 57c | 125.94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Brewers | 57c | 114.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Brewers | 54c | 113$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…1ff7backed Brewers | 57c | 112.28$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Brewers | 49c | 100.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Brewers | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cardinals | 39c | 96.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4d…67a5backed Brewers | 57c | 91.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Brewers | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38d4…47d8backed Cardinals | 45c | 89.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Brewers | 57c | 87.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac2…4fcfbacked Brewers | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…8846backed Brewers | 70c | 85.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Cardinals | 43c | 80.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Cardinals | 44c | 79.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Brewers | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Brewers | 53c | 76.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 356 | 52.5%187 W · 169 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Brewers | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…2f53backed Cardinals | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e34…d38bbacked Cardinals | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers | 54c | 64.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Brewers | 57c | 63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd3…d704backed Cardinals | 44c | 61.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Cardinals | 43c | 61.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Brewers | 57c | 60.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Brewers | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…c285backed Brewers | 57c | 59.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…b86ebacked Brewers | 56c | 57.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Cardinals | 44c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Cardinals | 44c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…509abacked Brewers | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…475abacked Brewers | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 87 | 66.7%58 W · 29 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Cardinals | 59c | 51.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…ccaebacked Brewers | 57c | 50.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Brewers | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brewers vs. Cardinalsthis page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.