MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe223282a4d1e542d6309d76439ec0244b6588171f69460cf16af15c836bb64c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Reds, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Reds | 40c | 50,337$20,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,202.37 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers | 50c | 28,972$14,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,564.54 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…0aacbacked Brewers | 60c | 26,226$15,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,735.6 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Brewers | 60c | 16,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Reds | 39c | 6,593$2,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,021.67 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Reds | 67c | 5,496$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.04 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Reds | 39c | 5,243$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,198.17 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Brewers | 28c | 4,751$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.14 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Reds | 68c | 3,640$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.79 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…6556backed Reds | 46c | 3,525$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.78 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Brewers | 60c | 2,833$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 36c | 2,721$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.17 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Reds | 40c | 2,571$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.71 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Brewers | 63c | 2,367$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Reds | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Reds | 78c | 1,766$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.4 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Reds | 39c | 1,600$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Reds | 39c | 1,561$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.21 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Brewers | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Brewers | 24c | 1,316$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.48 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Brewers | 23c | 1,279$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked Reds | 39c | 1,270$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.22 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Brewers | 61c | 1,204$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.36 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Brewers | 49c | 1,193$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.36 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Brewers | 59c | 1,165$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.6 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Brewers | 27c | 1,112$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Brewers | 60c | 1,065$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Brewers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Reds | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 40c | 999.96$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Reds | 39c | 849.99$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.49 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Brewers | 60c | 839$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.4 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Brewers | 11c | 830.32$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Reds | 77c | 798$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.5 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Brewers | 25c | 792.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brewers | 31c | 773.76$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.75 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Brewers | 60c | 763.39$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.06 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Reds | 70c | 762$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.26 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Reds | 67c | 716.03$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.32 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Brewers | 60c | 700$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Brewers | 3c | 665.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Brewers | 4c | 656.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Reds | 39c | 591.98$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.11 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Reds | 39c | 548$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.28 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…63febacked Brewers | 61c | 545.87$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.98 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Reds | 41c | 544.8$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.43 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…d7cdbacked Reds | 40c | 535.9$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Brewers | 14c | 520$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.76 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Reds | 38c | 504.75$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.95 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Reds | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Brewers | 61c | 491.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Brewers | 59c | 468.21$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.29 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Brewers | 5c | 450$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Brewers | 61c | 409.92$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.81 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Brewers | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Reds | 56c | 385.61$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.64 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 57c | 327.92$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.06 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Brewers | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Reds | 39c | 321.04$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.83 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbb…e5bcbacked Brewers | 60c | 303.33$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Reds | 77c | 300$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Brewers | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…8547backed Brewers | 74c | 269.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Brewers | 60c | 261$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Brewers | 58c | 260.81$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.91 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Reds | 74c | 258.71$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Brewers | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…e8f2backed Brewers | 16c | 250$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Reds | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Brewers | 61c | 242.54$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.95 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Brewers | 12c | 220.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Brewers | 30c | 216.35$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3e…b88ebacked Brewers | 60c | 215.38$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.23 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ea…22ecbacked Brewers | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Reds | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Brewers | 62c | 182.92$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.41 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Brewers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Brewers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Brewers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Reds | 41c | 165.85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.85 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x808a…be63backed Brewers | 60c | 165.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Brewers | 15c | 163.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Brewers | 62c | 161.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Brewers | 61c | 129$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Brewers | 60c | 110.66$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.06 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c6…5db4backed Brewers | 61c | 108.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520b…7645backed Brewers | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Brewers | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Reds | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Reds | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…2759backed Reds | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f94…4a8dbacked Brewers | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcead…8fb2backed Reds | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Brewers | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f55…da17backed Brewers | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7aa…5eb4backed Reds | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Reds vs. Brewersthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.