TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will India win Intervision 2025?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,788
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,261

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,788 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd986…1320backed Yes1c3,340$36 inLost-$35.84450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb898…1288backed Yes2c2,583$58 inLost-$58.221816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+76.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0013…3c30backed Yes2c2,001$50 inLost-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes2c1,309$27 inLost-$27.025619.6%11 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick14cpaid+54.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes2c662.75$12 inLost-$11.832313%3 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-82.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5caf…5470backed Yes2c543.13$10 inLost-$10.4911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick5cpaid-45.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47ea…5799backed No79c62.28$49 inWon+$12.86450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf737…9f0dbacked No71c59.52$43 inWon+$17.01580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e1…8f7ebacked No51c28.15$14 inWon+$13.82771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.