Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Union St.-Gilloise beat Ajax Amsterdam?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cff5736b6ac4571abe6e0d3a55c427ce504c660e9c38242c447e51a627e4975
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 37c | 22,686$8,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,438.33 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c11…c7e6backed No | 63c | 22,615$14,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,322.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed Yes | 39c | 9,982$3,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,894.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes | 37c | 8,948$3,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350.64 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 37c | 5,992$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.34 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked No | 62c | 4,844$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.92 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -61%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked No | 63c | 4,333$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 60c | 2,941$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.42 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed No | 70c | 1,070$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 34c | 582.85$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.17 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 62c | 554.08$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.7 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 29c | 426.09$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.39 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Yes | 45c | 400$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Yes | 44c | 386.77$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.18 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed No | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 41c | 193.6$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 60c | 157.63$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.79 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 39c | 156.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa162…57a8backed Yes | 42c | 116$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…de67backed No | 58c | 116$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f2…b566backed No | 58c | 104$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe528…6385backed No | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed No | 60c | 99.02$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 60c | 88.18$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3165…6073backed No | 61c | 82.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…60a3backed No | 54c | 77.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 38c | 68.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…9538backed Yes | 42c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd025…f71cbacked Yes | 43c | 52.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed No | 58c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7c…1c36backed No | 60c | 44.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ac…ce43backed Yes | 42c | 44.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d9…7e37backed No | 59c | 44.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…d6d5backed Yes | 39c | 42.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…0493backed Yes | 44c | 41.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf623…3c87backed No | 58c | 41.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3f…63f5backed Yes | 42c | 41.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3acd…4eaebacked No | 58c | 41.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90d7…f390backed No | 60c | 40.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59af…be78backed No | 59c | 39.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5db…1c06backed Yes | 42c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78eb…9454backed Yes | 39c | 38.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…4d3fbacked Yes | 41c | 38.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb53e…8fabbacked No | 58c | 38.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…912dbacked Yes | 42c | 38.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…9ce6backed Yes | 40c | 38.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac1…723ebacked No | 60c | 37.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x118f…cd47backed Yes | 42c | 37.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf449…4ba1backed No | 59c | 37.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28db…e247backed No | 60c | 37.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d79…6774backed No | 58c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af0…eb8dbacked No | 60c | 36.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c4…d380backed Yes | 40c | 36.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa016…64a3backed Yes | 38c | 36.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdb…8a3abacked No | 60c | 35.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…68b4backed No | 58c | 35.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…2a4abacked No | 61c | 35.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4838…22a6backed Yes | 39c | 35.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc35…6fcdbacked No | 58c | 35.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd19…aea9backed Yes | 42c | 35.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f58…9798backed No | 58c | 35.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…6066backed Yes | 39c | 34.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…c470backed Yes | 41c | 34.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02d…1ed1backed No | 61c | 34.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3acb…795bbacked Yes | 41c | 33.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…e2ccbacked No | 59c | 33.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc953…8cb8backed Yes | 41c | 33.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6a…07b3backed Yes | 39c | 33.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0af…10d6backed No | 61c | 33.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…08e8backed Yes | 40c | 33.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2b64backed No | 60c | 33.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…a0bdbacked Yes | 41c | 33.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb42e…2299backed Yes | 42c | 32.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e8…830abacked Yes | 40c | 32.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…f429backed Yes | 42c | 32.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 77c | 32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802a…1d73backed Yes | 39c | 31.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ee…80debacked No | 61c | 31.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f01…e82abacked No | 58c | 31.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf663…2535backed Yes | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…8d8cbacked No | 60c | 30.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddaa…b501backed Yes | 40c | 30.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf71…3f9abacked No | 55c | 30.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d89…ca0cbacked Yes | 42c | 29.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b5…b3bdbacked No | 60c | 29.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 40c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2c…43aabacked Yes | 39c | 28.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef4…ca5fbacked No | 58c | 28.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…53e6backed Yes | 42c | 28.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…9c44backed Yes | 42c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…bec2backed Yes | 42c | 27.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…4e45backed No | 58c | 27.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…9f98backed Yes | 42c | 26.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…2d02backed No | 60c | 26.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6071…d272backed Yes | 40c | 26.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x598d…b18bbacked No | 58c | 26.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Union St.-Gilloise beat Ajax Amsterdam?this page
- Will Ajax Amsterdam beat Union St.-Gilloise?Yes won
- Will the match between Union St.-Gilloise and Ajax Amsterdam end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.