Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will the match between Union St.-Gilloise and Ajax Amsterdam end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe11f0d823fbfee28868d93c8601396ad06561d17e0011cf55f853a72b1fae8a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 26c | 518.5$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.54 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 28c | 413.33$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.53 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 28c | 214.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…3dbbbacked No | 68c | 202.87$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fb…b3c6backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e9…f464backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 15c | 156.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7db…85c7backed Yes | 29c | 116$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…a9f7backed Yes | 29c | 79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…cfcdbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046e…200fbacked No | 71c | 52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…f5febacked No | 71c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f89…b1fdbacked No | 71c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 28c | 44.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f1…dbeabacked No | 60c | 32.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…ca10backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de5…dccdbacked No | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b43…3836backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the match between Union St.-Gilloise and Ajax Amsterdam end in a draw?this page
- Will Ajax Amsterdam beat Union St.-Gilloise?Yes won
- Will Union St.-Gilloise beat Ajax Amsterdam?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.