Ukraine · resolved market
Will the US sanction Russia before May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc8881bf9d7af55bb753b1c9381a8a03de4670b25df883ae6fa21856778938a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe85e…775fbacked No | 2c | 5,164$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.28 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 1c | 4,778$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 79c | 3,376$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.23 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed No | 6c | 2,896$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.64 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 75c | 2,685$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.13 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 58c | 2,400$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.98 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 70c | 2,346$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.96 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28de…a1fdbacked Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.98 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf485…53ccbacked No | 20c | 1,993$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 9c | 1,951$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.75 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad7b…63dabacked No | 31c | 1,503$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 68c | 1,499$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.36 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 46c | 1,497$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.72 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 11c | 1,392$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.08 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…bc44backed No | 68c | 1,350$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69cf…e75cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,262$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 19c | 1,224$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.78 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 32c | 864.74$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.96 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 72c | 838.14$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 29c | 820.29$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.75 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…bfacbacked No | 26c | 765.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 24c | 749.6$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.41 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…b2ffbacked Yes | 39c | 735.99$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.15 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 76c | 608.5$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 56c | 572.91$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c47…9b02backed Yes | 22c | 536.1$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 70c | 505.97$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.43 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 23c | 490.55$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.43 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…46d5backed Yes | 38c | 489.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +124.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2c…097cbacked No | 79c | 447.09$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed No | 55c | 406.75$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.04 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460b…aeddbacked No | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…9aeabacked No | 23c | 365.83$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 46c | 362.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.74 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…97e3backed Yes | 30c | 356$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.72 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb05…12f8backed Yes | 24c | 338.01$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.89 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +84%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…b90abacked Yes | 23c | 313.04$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 27cpaid | +158.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed Yes | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c47…174bbacked No | 50c | 260.29$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…5f67backed Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed No | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed No | 19c | 236$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 9c | 222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 43c | 222$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.54 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4a…cacabacked Yes | 27c | 218$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 22c | 217.3$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.15 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1815…15dbbacked No | 13c | 213.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +54%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 58c | 210.29$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.46 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…f894backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 40c | 192.9$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…8928backed Yes | 24c | 186.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…b534backed No | 75c | 169.33$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c2…82cfbacked Yes | 42c | 165.3$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 40c | 153.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.21 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…980bbacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc819…6d47backed No | 75c | 142.33$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0ef5backed Yes | 27c | 137.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…97bbbacked Yes | 22c | 122.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 80c | 122$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes | 53c | 119.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783e…0d56backed No | 79c | 115$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 22c | 113.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.73 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfade…283bbacked No | 21c | 109.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 26c | 102.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.28 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cb…b053backed Yes | 21c | 101.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 101.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb67c…a2c3backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…68d9backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…1419backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…29fcbacked No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…8f17backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 80c | 99.7$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 19c | 96.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.7 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed Yes | 57c | 96.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…42b4backed Yes | 60c | 92.45$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 63c | 89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 77c | 88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 128 | 30.5%39 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked No | 68c | 86.59$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 84.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb6…49c9backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2c…dc30backed Yes | 40c | 78.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 70c | 77.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd1…a18fbacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…5d4fbacked No | 58c | 64.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe34a…5e71backed No | 76c | 62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…4bdfbacked No | 65c | 61.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…17b7backed No | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…7137backed Yes | 18c | 57.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…1af7backed No | 32c | 50.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9387…ca01backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +215.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf810…e877backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +178.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec99…962fbacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.