World Politics · resolved market
Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32299bca681bfa08b6f82a37fa140b0023e46fc2795044db1401d270277d9230
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,465,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,616,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,465,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04fa…6c06backed Yes | 2c | 74,521$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 61,151$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.34 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 3c | 47,007$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.18 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x403e…ee4cbacked Yes | 4c | 30,600$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked Yes | 0c | 28,294$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2808…afd9backed Yes | 1c | 25,481$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 14,470$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc1…9a12backed Yes | 0c | 14,122$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 1c | 13,757$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.06 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 13,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1b…f631backed Yes | 4c | 10,564$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d9…fcb6backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5e…4033backed Yes | 2c | 9,894$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6af8…bac0backed Yes | 4c | 9,341$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf299…5e83backed Yes | 2c | 8,747$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e6…b1afbacked Yes | 1c | 7,160$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a5…5ac2backed Yes | 3c | 6,730$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.55 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 0c | 6,636$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 3c | 6,096$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.7 | 140 | 33.6%47 W · 93 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 4c | 5,795$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.72 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46c7…c0f2backed Yes | 3c | 5,435$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…f087backed Yes | 2c | 5,340$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17c…d635backed Yes | 1c | 5,194$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7b…5074backed Yes | 1c | 5,105$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…8f87backed Yes | 3c | 4,985$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4661…4bb4backed Yes | 2c | 4,973$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 2c | 4,572$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.83 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada1…e536backed Yes | 2c | 4,505$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…ddcdbacked Yes | 0c | 4,333$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f5…7926backed Yes | 1c | 4,095$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,000$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 0c | 3,926$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6637backed Yes | 3c | 3,644$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf61…d0f9backed Yes | 1c | 3,549$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cf…6dc4backed Yes | 1c | 3,433$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…bf2bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc04e…8574backed Yes | 1c | 3,066$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…9b2dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,066$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b54…b9a5backed Yes | 1c | 3,066$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 1c | 2,732$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 105 | 20%21 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…005dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,622$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc797…49cdbacked Yes | 2c | 2,589$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…ce9dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,476$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…2fa6backed Yes | 3c | 2,091$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba1…5653backed Yes | 3c | 2,075$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4947…d6fabacked Yes | 2c | 1,947$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c4…43e8backed Yes | 2c | 1,773$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb943…777dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,767$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Yes | 3c | 1,538$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd97a…02e4backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5d…a62cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…5089backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ab…7cb1backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…ac25backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f98…ec42backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…9034backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cec…86d7backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdf…560abacked Yes | 1c | 1,533$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755e…ed1dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,533$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ee…9d6bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…6db7backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…49b9backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…8253backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7db…ae9bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1343…1a83backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78d…abf8backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…ad21backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e41…f7babacked Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7d…8cf2backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd7…9357backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x313b…5fffbacked Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf81…a558backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc19…d3bfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x487a…8785backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7173…2798backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41d5…c773backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d2…5c5fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x771e…34b6backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…8ea5backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6984…ed33backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d32…84b1backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc469…28dfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,533$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f97…b035backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…8862backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e7…ea59backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x515a…85b0backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61da…ed1fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94f…f1bfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412d…7f88backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdb…42f1backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b8…796bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…1074backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d5…fbb8backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf548…0431backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…ac05backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb944…9cb0backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9472…ea98backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0985…1853backed Yes | 1c | 1,533$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…4fd9backed Yes | 2c | 1,471$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.