Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump announce military actions against Iran by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc25cb57c5b92aed1f325939f741cafb2f0c6cba9148356b55c41d90421b29523
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 20c | 12,703$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.53 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…83cbbacked No | 79c | 7,604$6,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.06 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 2c | 4,001$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 185 | 16.2%30 W · 155 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1287…e491backed Yes | 11c | 3,724$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed No | 77c | 2,520$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.57 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 10c | 2,077$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.13 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 9c | 1,126$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.16 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9019…77b5backed Yes | 1c | 1,082$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea2…823cbacked Yes | 21c | 995$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…95abbacked Yes | 21c | 970$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc404…1af8backed No | 78c | 922.58$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…c5cebacked No | 79c | 900$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x647a…7c59backed No | 79c | 890$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…605abacked Yes | 30c | 849.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38d…6c36backed Yes | 2c | 800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64f9…849abacked Yes | 7c | 749.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…60c8backed Yes | 11c | 694.73$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.42 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfade…283bbacked No | 77c | 693.62$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 77c | 621.68$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.25 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 17c | 607.79$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…0a0fbacked Yes | 13c | 602.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…3dd2backed Yes | 19c | 525.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…13bdbacked No | 76c | 499.99$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 3c | 446$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…f56cbacked No | 70c | 444$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4485…6d42backed Yes | 37c | 407.3$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…3a2dbacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 12c | 400$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x390a…69a6backed Yes | 34c | 327.79$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…edb0backed Yes | 37c | 323.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…005dbacked Yes | 8c | 302.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939c…332cbacked Yes | 20c | 298.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 64c | 257.62$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.97 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d0…4e7dbacked Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 24c | 248.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 60c | 242.65$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.89 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…0cdebacked Yes | 25c | 221.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25d6…e5e9backed Yes | 23c | 214.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 14c | 213.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcead…b918backed Yes | 34c | 211.74$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e1…2edebacked Yes | 21c | 186.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…1743backed No | 72c | 173.26$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed No | 70c | 171.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +131.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed Yes | 14c | 139.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 13c | 134.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ef…039bbacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325d…bafdbacked No | 76c | 126.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd118…a96dbacked Yes | 10c | 120.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3669…b07cbacked Yes | 37c | 107.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 69c | 106.32$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca1e…75edbacked No | 62c | 104.7$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d69…d6f1backed No | 78c | 100.9$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 193 | 28.5%55 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…0b5dbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbb…73bbbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76b0…338abacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…dfd2backed No | 67c | 98.72$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 18c | 96.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…8c08backed No | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd23…0816backed No | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdb…7358backed No | 73c | 78.23$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…dcd8backed No | 20c | 76.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee1…c9a5backed Yes | 79c | 75.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…f2c9backed Yes | 20c | 74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed4…561ebacked Yes | 15c | 67.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 65c | 64.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd264…e540backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62a…2dcfbacked No | 75c | 58.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +212.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…933cbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…e8a4backed Yes | 49c | 53.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f29…1e12backed No | 56c | 52.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 33cpaid | +579.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…a37abacked No | 66c | 50.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa13a…3c7abacked Yes | 39c | 50.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd89b…7945backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bb…d672backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…7118backed No | 79c | 49.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe109…71c0backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…cddabacked No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…6faebacked No | 74c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c9…645dbacked Yes | 35c | 32.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed No | 71c | 32.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…b17ebacked No | 63c | 31.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…c12dbacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b52…5758backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d4…8603backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c47…9b02backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…0a63backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x893a…9b52backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf581…74f4backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa093…7e5cbacked No | 77c | 18.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca68…0626backed No | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.