Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60e45f2a5cccd16fd60eda5f96670f946b2281b7ce59595b621eee05de4eda49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf916…9224backed No | 79c | 25,753$20,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,294.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 18c | 14,133$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.5 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 34c | 6,320$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.03 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 13c | 5,983$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 42c | 5,253$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.12 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe423…8c34backed Yes | 32c | 4,195$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4faebacked Yes | 39c | 3,745$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +153.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 55c | 3,744$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.46 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2384…3e0bbacked No | 67c | 3,053$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.24 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03c…68cfbacked No | 78c | 2,422$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.1 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 43c | 2,094$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.39per pick | 32cpaid | +289.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…bfb3backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 53c | 1,942$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.99 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 1,895$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…e10fbacked Yes | 69c | 1,596$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e26…336cbacked No | 51c | 1,344$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.46 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed Yes | 16c | 1,300$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 32c | 1,294$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.89 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff82…19c0backed Yes | 12c | 1,259$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…a43dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,190$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 45c | 1,167$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.31 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 6c | 1,152$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd87b…db63backed Yes | 4c | 1,119$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 7c | 1,043$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.87 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 41c | 968.49$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.18 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3366…e5bebacked No | 53c | 940.2$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked Yes | 6c | 866$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd94d…365ebacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…f954backed Yes | 30c | 816.31$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2884…d0c3backed Yes | 23c | 805.28$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.66 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 778$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…acf4backed No | 47c | 749.24$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 27c | 733.38$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.57 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…8f68backed No | 41c | 700$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed No | 37c | 657.26$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.26 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd822…8c9bbacked No | 54c | 645.58$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.14 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 4c | 602.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda1…098fbacked Yes | 6c | 582.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…1aa4backed Yes | 43c | 553$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 32c | 540$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.9 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc281…e079backed No | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7be…cc5cbacked Yes | 62c | 513.7$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac7…76f1backed Yes | 43c | 480.69$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…e3ebbacked No | 72c | 468.25$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…2566backed Yes | 18c | 450$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xffd3…c80fbacked Yes | 3c | 449.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…8a7cbacked No | 63c | 444.96$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 5c | 428.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…3af5backed Yes | 31c | 400.33$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 54c | 400$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…005dbacked No | 53c | 368.32$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.28 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 41c | 357.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.89 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a2…9981backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…d383backed Yes | 11c | 324.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3d…615ebacked Yes | 43c | 323.78$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 7c | 320.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…7ff4backed No | 65c | 308.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.89 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc6…c602backed Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 5c | 286$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b87…274cbacked Yes | 5c | 279.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5468…d86ebacked Yes | 31c | 266.16$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…d45bbacked No | 42c | 231.45$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.57 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 71c | 226.14$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.03 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 37c | 216.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.23 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked No | 64c | 208.36$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 68c | 204.03$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…64e3backed Yes | 59c | 202$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.14 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…29fcbacked Yes | 18c | 200.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa13…9c9abacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…5ef3backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…5ab4backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…bfacbacked No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa344…8141backed Yes | 46c | 199.87$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.32 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 23c | 186.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 171 | 22.2%38 W · 133 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 32c | 175$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…f5adbacked No | 57c | 174.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…a9ccbacked No | 57c | 174.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 51c | 172.77$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.28 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…7c83backed Yes | 33c | 170.68$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a3…f796backed Yes | 31c | 165.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc801…5789backed Yes | 18c | 164.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9a…06bebacked No | 57c | 164.17$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d7…dbcabacked No | 56c | 159.84$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.33 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 52c | 157.63$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…e07bbacked Yes | 59c | 157$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab1…5a75backed Yes | 62c | 151.52$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd7…eb50backed No | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed No | 48c | 149.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 28c | 149.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…678cbacked No | 33c | 148$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.43 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +144.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e40…7a06backed No | 64c | 140.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…0038backed No | 72c | 138.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b8…a462backed No | 23c | 134.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c4…4ee2backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked No | 41c | 121.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked No | 64c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7304…0379backed Yes | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.25per pick | 33cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 32c | 119.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.