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South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-05-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$229,934
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$229,409

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,934 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes50c119,954$59,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,395.5929446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4da7…7abdbacked No49c20,400$10,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,032.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No50c20,383$10,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,277.1820553.2%109 W · 96 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No51c9,652$4,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,922.2865058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No15c7,814$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.183,80738.4%1,463 W · 2,344 L-29.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No5c7,782$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.0928651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No51c7,752$3,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,953.528743.7%38 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes76c6,863$5,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,626.645,82145.4%2,642 W · 3,179 L+97.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No49c5,869$2,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,891.71450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No51c4,902$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50033560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No51c4,891$2,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,494.411241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No51c4,464$2,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,259.262,00451.3%1,028 W · 976 L+41.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c4,415$2,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,211.093,44651.4%1,771 W · 1,675 L+21.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked No23c4,304$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-63.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No42c4,126$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,734.172,59839.3%1,022 W · 1,576 L-26.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked No14c4,062$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.112227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Yes50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0004143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked No49c3,933$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9404652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed No53c3,774$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No53c3,356$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.4721345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked No7c3,229$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.091435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No49c3,200$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56825055.2%138 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No50c3,087$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.371010%1 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick33cpaid-77.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed No51c2,979$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.295543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes70c2,501$1,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.299259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25016647%78 W · 88 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No49c2,400$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17613059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No50c2,349$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.31,70252%885 W · 817 L+21.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8d…acc4backed No48c2,249$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.754852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes48c2,100$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08312254.9%67 W · 55 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes50c1,600$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.8742250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes49c1,503$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.3712741.7%53 W · 74 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes68c1,469$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.68,17548.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L+27.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed No49c1,427$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.91457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No51c1,400$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71423057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No49c1,400$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68616558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad58…7624backed Yes52c1,299$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.391361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No18c1,242$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.361,05549.3%520 W · 535 L+14.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No49c1,200$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58824353.9%131 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No21c1,196$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.971,32342.8%566 W · 757 L-2.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No49c1,184$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.1612757.5%73 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed No5c1,129$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.133348.5%16 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+56.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Yes50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5504544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No51c1,020$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5205844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yes67c1,003$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.4925866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49019759.4%117 W · 80 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027449.3%135 W · 139 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39229051.7%150 W · 140 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39223256.5%131 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes52c790.62$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.517350.3%87 W · 86 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No51c784.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40027648.9%135 W · 141 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes70c781.67$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.881,39352.6%733 W · 660 L+53.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No51c705.98$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.0410467.3%70 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Yes53c687.26$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.014738.3%18 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes77c687.26$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.074555.6%25 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked Yes50c663.54$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.772657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked No50c640$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3202462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29425457.1%145 W · 109 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29418358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes63c599.12$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.861,55745.1%702 W · 855 L+19.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed No50c588$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2943243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.927444.6%33 W · 41 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No49c520$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.816559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No49c520$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.815857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No49c516$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.022,34651.4%1,207 W · 1,139 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No49c506.72$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.0881356.5%459 W · 354 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ad7…49e0backed No3c499.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+48.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes80c435.89$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.51,27156%712 W · 559 L+71.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No52c432.5$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.99925.3%25 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No49c396.74$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.3912958.1%75 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7bb…4d1ebacked No53c396.23$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes50c387.74$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Yes52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.624351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No24c334.23$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8625044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No49c320$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.821558.6%126 W · 89 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes67c312.39$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0921251.9%110 W · 102 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No49c312$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8821757.6%125 W · 92 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No49c312$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8820460.3%123 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked No49c310$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.93652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf66…3436backed Yes47c303.7$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.963345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No43c298.19$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2813135.1%46 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No49c280$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.222158.4%129 W · 92 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes50c271.62$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8117352%90 W · 83 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc5f…cf7cbacked No51c258.82$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1322128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-29.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12027348.7%133 W · 140 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked No9c230$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.275754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No47c229.02$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.651,50245.9%690 W · 812 L-18.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf80f…34a9backed No11c218.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.314553.3%24 W · 21 L+7.5wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+35.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes79c216.73$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3422365%145 W · 78 L+22.8wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xde4d…df45backed Yes53c203.77$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.771952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+44%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10031745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9824356.8%138 W · 105 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9815759.9%94 W · 63 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9818959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No51c198$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.997763.6%49 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes50c194.54$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.271346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed Yes79c189.43$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.783464.7%22 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick73cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.689547.4%45 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes65c186.16$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1659539.7%236 W · 359 L+2.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No51c179.96$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.788955.1%49 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.