South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Deportivo La Guaira FC win on 2026-05-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb481b52a676270370cb0f4c9686b54fcbfc750bb06c60ce7e22e2dfe3a12a0df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 21c | 4,763$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.25 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,211$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.68 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 23c | 2,150$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.5 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 79c | 1,801$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.21 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 78c | 1,298$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.09 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 19c | 1,118$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.27 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 1,012$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.79 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69e…7270backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 963.04$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.5 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Yes | 23c | 932.5$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.48 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 77c | 919.99$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.6 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 857.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 779.83$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.94 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 19c | 771.01$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.49 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 19c | 577.48$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.87 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Yes | 3c | 448$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…6253backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 22c | 358.55$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 13c | 331.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 19c | 240$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 23c | 207.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1dd…bd0abacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…1f55backed Yes | 20c | 196.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 79c | 136.96$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 79c | 134.63$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 80c | 130.51$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5928backed No | 79c | 125.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 11c | 116.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…04edbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 79c | 99.17$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 11c | 98.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 78c | 74.71$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 80c | 66$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 78c | 30.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked No | 79c | 22.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Deportivo La Guaira FC win on 2026-05-21?this page
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-05-21?Yes won
- Will Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.