Australian A League · resolved market
Will Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d3c833451126f6fef26f31b8598f060341f71c76250663e0249d1e200d88faa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 61c | 27,260$16,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,544.07 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 57c | 10,579$6,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,549.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 47c | 9,364$4,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,377.51 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 48c | 8,825$4,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,194.79 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 7,329$3,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090.64 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed Yes | 18c | 5,464$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 43c | 3,334$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.51 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 71c | 2,070$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed No | 63c | 1,900$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 46c | 1,335$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.04 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…3ee0backed Yes | 16c | 1,197$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked No | 53c | 1,053$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 37c | 992.47$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.99 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked No | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 54c | 698.21$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.19 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Yes | 35c | 573.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Yes | 32c | 375$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 41c | 332.96$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.79 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 68c | 318.75$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…6ca4backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f4…f3dabacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 297.5$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 76c | 272.83$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 31c | 258.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6802…da5ebacked No | 79c | 251.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 76c | 249.13$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes | 32c | 218.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 22c | 213.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -70%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…68e5backed Yes | 5c | 210$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 206.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.29 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Yes | 48c | 195.54$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 30c | 183.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…bd4abacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaee…c167backed Yes | 29c | 168.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 64c | 168.14$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 29c | 158.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…f627backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa0…62dfbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 156.17$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 57c | 132.14$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 33c | 111.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 76c | 106.24$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Yes | 34c | 103.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +118%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.36per pick | 37cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc879…30a4backed Yes | 17c | 96.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 20c | 93.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 21c | 85.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 29c | 81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Yes | 43c | 72.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…679dbacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 44c | 58.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 38c | 58.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd840…1ec6backed No | 57c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 68c | 51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -6.3wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 29c | 45.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Yes | 41c | 33.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 63c | 32.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Yes | 52c | 27.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 52c | 23.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 60c | 23.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 71c | 15.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdb…8a82backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-23?Yes won
- Will Sydney FC win on 2026-05-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.