South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-05-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a366db25407c6eb2764491844cab833d26102898d27313ea13f95f8342b204f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x35c8…90cbbacked No | 63c | 5,714$3,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,610.2 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 4,116$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.54 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 37c | 3,081$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.95 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed No | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.96 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 45c | 2,929$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.69 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 2,105$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.6 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 41c | 1,340$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.02 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 37c | 1,038$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.85 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 37c | 1,009$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.25 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 27c | 687.53$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.59 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed No | 13c | 674.51$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.94 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 60c | 666.09$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.05 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 74c | 648.92$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.97 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 37c | 613.97$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.8 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked No | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 44c | 448.3$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.86 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 41c | 399.23$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.14 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 61c | 325.71$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.56 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked No | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 70c | 289.27$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.11 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 38c | 248.92$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.33 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 38c | 236.84$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.84 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 38c | 228.32$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 76c | 217.43$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 215.65$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.71 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 37c | 206.67$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 19c | 193.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 60c | 183.6$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.22 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 58c | 182.4$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.39 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 56c | 178.6$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 58c | 172.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe662…8954backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…757bbacked No | 9c | 131.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 40c | 126.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 66c | 124$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 37c | 120$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 21c | 104$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Yes | 36c | 97.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.46 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 61c | 90$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 41c | 81.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 33c | 81.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 60c | 76.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 47c | 72.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…712bbacked Yes | 41c | 71.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 62c | 63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 40c | 59.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked Yes | 73c | 55.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 107 | 67.3%72 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes | 38c | 51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 39c | 50.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d94…01fabacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 45c | 45.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 59c | 42.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 45c | 42.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 68c | 38.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Yes | 38c | 37.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 38c | 35.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes | 54c | 33.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked No | 51c | 31.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked No | 58c | 31.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3db…c173backed Yes | 38c | 31.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…291dbacked Yes | 38c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 62c | 20.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…7f96backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked No | 60c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-05-19?this page
- Will Audax CS Italiano vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-05-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.