South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-05-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x154d5d354bcace98858117b16b686fe00e7471ee6221a296558d19edcf226fdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 909.55$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.12 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 79c | 820.31$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.99 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 67c | 746$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.18 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 75c | 709$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.28 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 519.86$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.38 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 384.62$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.11 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 32c | 322.01$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.84 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…9bd9backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Yes | 33c | 246$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 23c | 186.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 26c | 134$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 78c | 128.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 68c | 123.32$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 111.71$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…e7e7backed Yes | 23c | 79.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 24c | 66.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 31c | 63.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 25c | 59.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 25c | 50.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 404 | 42.1%170 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 69c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 34c | 35.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 17.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 75c | 14.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-05-19?this page
- Will Audax CS Italiano vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?No won
- Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-05-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.