TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-05-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,280
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,283

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,280 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes46c7,628$3,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,095.3742962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes72c3,874$2,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.018444%37 W · 47 L+11.9wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+23.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes70c3,609$2,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.388,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked No9c3,404$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.332227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No28c3,259$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.5930048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No54c2,766$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.141,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No53c1,674$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.561,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes35c1,429$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.515945.9%73 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes66c1,249$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.45,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No47c1,209$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.342,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No54c1,184$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.3612757.5%73 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Yes71c1,141$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.727437.8%28 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes39c1,091$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.1324665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes42c1,029$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.3814570.3%102 W · 43 L+22.6wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No54c1,016$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.2842250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed No56c980.99$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.3512754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No54c920$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.822457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No22c902.37$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.341,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes76c881.01$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.851,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Yes48c812.5$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.55844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No55c671.96$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.841,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Yes39c641$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.019349.5%46 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes49c625.7$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.5718828.7%54 W · 134 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed No17c607.99$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3648922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No53c406.41$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.427549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No32c367.91$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6218338.8%71 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x005a…1349backed No63c328.12$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.271361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No40c314.82$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.5912958.1%75 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No65c309.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5225866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked No46c280.09$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1308535.3%30 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No69c269.93$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.2599259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes34c261.25$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.4231643%136 W · 180 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x597a…a4e4backed No52c258$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.21450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcab…e71dbacked Yes48c253$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked No21c252$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.927328.8%21 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No23c251.61$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.951,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No22c248.7$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0389645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No16c244$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0835046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No53c239.72$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.851,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18c…0350backed Yes35c229.98$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.191428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Yes46c216$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.641154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No53c208.37$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.321,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No53c202.96$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.623,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5418359%108 W · 75 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ce6…8e94backed No53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6170…03bdbacked Yes55c183.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.05850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No9c177.2$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5415247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No54c175.89$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.82,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd089…ea0dbacked Yes41c165.24$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.24650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes77c164.88$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.542946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No23c160.16$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.21,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes43c152$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6410667.9%72 W · 34 L+15.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+42.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No53c151$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.032,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No17c116.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4450643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No11c113.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9626745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x544f…3ca1backed Yes46c109.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.253056.7%17 W · 13 L+6.6wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+67.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1130231.1%94 W · 208 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed No53c107$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.713836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No53c100.2$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3465058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No31c89.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6789846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No19c85.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.211,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x341b…b92cbacked Yes48c81.25$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.251450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes44c80.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5126965.4%176 W · 93 L+48.9wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+40.5%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No57c74.12$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.231,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Yes56c73.26$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5513248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes75c72.46$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.891,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x551e…a3f4backed Yes40c61.93$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.935455.6%30 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No50c57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.611,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No53c56.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.933266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd840…1ec6backed No54c55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.452653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed No55c52.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.833141.9%13 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0614…ff8bbacked No58c51.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308555.3%47 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cd…5c7abacked Yes35c50.83$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.041637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x219c…fed6backed Yes39c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.61752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes43c47.92$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3127855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No65c47.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.131,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5111140.5%45 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4172…a77dbacked Yes45c46.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.41475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+48.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4512348%59 W · 64 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes73c45.39$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2219264.1%123 W · 69 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6196…1a64backed Yes45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.441457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes56c40.85$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.858569.4%59 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes45c40.4$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2231355.6%174 W · 139 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed Yes47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.211747.9%56 W · 61 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Yes45c36.6$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2533658.3%196 W · 140 L+32.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No62c35.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3630858.4%180 W · 128 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes42c35.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7411849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd388…7ed9backed No56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202540%10 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8a0…516fbacked Yes49c35.05$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed No58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012439.5%49 W · 75 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.241654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes34c30$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.86440.6%26 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No50c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.648252.4%43 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No55c28.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9416960.9%103 W · 66 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f5e…e107backed Yes41c28.93$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.931838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked No53c26.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1628665%186 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1345…4431backed No55c26.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf40…1e90backed No59c25.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea87…8066backed No53c24.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133333.3%11 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.