South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Platense win on 2026-05-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa73828c31bfff3e4d379265c9cdfdb139b54b11b8517c4a137fcf266a0a9b66d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes | 25c | 2,311$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.53 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 12c | 2,300$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.41 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 2,150$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.5 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 2c | 1,613$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 79c | 1,586$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.32 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 76c | 1,459$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.16 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 18c | 1,334$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 75c | 1,298$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.5 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 1,004$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 75c | 948.89$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.02 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 894.88$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.19 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 634.91$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.22 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 543.36$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.26 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 20c | 431.66$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.33 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x748d…26e2backed No | 75c | 401.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 394.99$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.83 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 25c | 297.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 22c | 280.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 75c | 260.52$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 10c | 228$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed No | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 25c | 183.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…9430backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 75c | 84.82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…c050backed Yes | 29c | 69.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d6…5cdfbacked Yes | 26c | 57.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 20c | 57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…3b4dbacked No | 74c | 54.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 71c | 49.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 79c | 43.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…e6c8backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…3b53backed No | 60c | 34.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x935b…8f4fbacked Yes | 29c | 34.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 30.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed No | 76c | 28.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 71c | 21.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 77c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0032…bea1backed No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23e…5861backed No | 77c | 19.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 74c | 13.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Platense win on 2026-05-19?this page
- Will Independiente Santa Fe vs. CA Platense end in a draw?No won
- Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-05-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.