South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Independiente Santa Fe vs. CA Platense end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1878aca40c4580a5d34137e74c2fbcf095dce45e304ec05ca6aaf674a409d5ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 25c | 2,520$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.91 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 74c | 1,872$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.72 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 13c | 1,515$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 1,105$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.16 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 32c | 940.63$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 781.14$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.79 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 53c | 778.98$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.12 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 659.06$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.93 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 473.64$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.3 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 65c | 394.8$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.57 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 31c | 311.56$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 23c | 299.89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 68c | 243$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.39 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 23c | 188.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Yes | 31c | 163.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 59c | 148$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 31c | 125.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 24c | 109.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 74c | 107.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 68c | 106.07$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 52c | 95.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 55c | 92.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Yes | 32c | 88.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 51c | 81.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 62c | 61.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 67c | 59.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 79c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 68c | 36.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 68c | 32.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 76c | 29.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 74c | 29.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 72c | 25.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…33c9backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked No | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 71c | 17.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a0…f156backed No | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Independiente Santa Fe vs. CA Platense end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Platense win on 2026-05-19?No won
- Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-05-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.