Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81edb74c06d1304ef6ef416cc4cb1d4129d0bd12212215e1feb4ef3e08905474
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 54c | 5,242$2,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830.91 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Over | 46c | 1,652$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.72 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Over | 46c | 916.47$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.61 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 46c | 583.36$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.85 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Over | 46c | 528.39$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.33 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Over | 46c | 494.32$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.93 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…5dc7backed Over | 46c | 435.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.13 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Over | 46c | 361.8$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.37 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…c137backed Over | 47c | 309$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.77 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18e8…0f39backed Over | 46c | 193.52$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…fd8cbacked Under | 55c | 81.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 55c | 57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Under | 60c | 41.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 230 | 57.8%133 W · 97 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 44c | 34.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72af…c833backed Over | 46c | 31.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…fc1abacked Over | 46c | 24.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?this page
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)Gen.G won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Gen.G won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G - Game 2 WinnerGen.G won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.