Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26cd39c18a3508a7b9dfb517313cce8e3bd73259ceaf31630f28cf43167e6286
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed Under | 77c | 2,586$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.02 | 236 | 72%170 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 23c | 1,717$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.87 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Over | 22c | 1,203$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.76 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 23c | 1,054$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.75 | 1,232 | 49.4%609 W · 623 L | +13.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed Over | 30c | 687.84$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.35 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 23c | 654.45$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.28 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Under | 76c | 635.45$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.51 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 23c | 599.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 27c | 546.93$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.29 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Over | 23c | 532.6$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 181 | 21%38 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…86b4backed Under | 65c | 518$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.02 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…ffbebacked Under | 77c | 512.31$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.83 | 87 | 67.8%59 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 78c | 416.21$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.57 | 1,097 | 52.3%574 W · 523 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Over | 22c | 346.62$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 274 | 47.8%131 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Under | 76c | 343$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Over | 30c | 252.82$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.98 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Over | 23c | 207.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…dbfabacked Under | 78c | 148.02$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Under | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Under | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 1,246 | 52.6%656 W · 590 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Over | 23c | 103.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Over | 44c | 96.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 236 | 24.6%58 W · 178 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 38c | 93.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 45c | 81.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Under | 71c | 67.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Under | 77c | 64.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 349 | 60.7%212 W · 137 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4465…db2abacked Under | 77c | 63.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 69cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Over | 23c | 56.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 42c | 52.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 47c | 51.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Over | 23c | 45.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Under | 76c | 38.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 655 | 56.2%368 W · 287 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9f…7e5dbacked Under | 76c | 32.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 204 | 63.2%129 W · 75 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Over | 31c | 32.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…afb8backed Under | 77c | 32.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…5d6cbacked Under | 75c | 27.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 71c | 25.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 1,577 | 48.4%764 W · 813 L | +17.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Under | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 406 | 45.6%185 W · 221 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb531…b230backed Over | 57c | 22.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Under | 78c | 20.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 74c | 19.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)Gen.G won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Gen.G won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G - Game 2 WinnerGen.G won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.