Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9cb24ddfc381eec6bb1b4cc2fb5b565c193b9d50e8cce0044de7c39a8acbcb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Charlton Athletic FCof Ipswich Town FC, Charlton Athletic FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Charlton Athletic FC | 65c | 1,017$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.05 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Ipswich Town FC | 35c | 1,002$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.86 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…f034backed Ipswich Town FC | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.55 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Charlton Athletic FC | 65c | 445.08$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.78 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Charlton Athletic FC | 66c | 404.64$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.09 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Charlton Athletic FC | 63c | 229$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.73 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Charlton Athletic FC | 78c | 169.97$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Ipswich Town FC | 22c | 167.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Charlton Athletic FC | 63c | 83.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Charlton Athletic FC | 66c | 49.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Ipswich Town FC | 34c | 44.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Charlton Athletic FC | 65c | 44.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…1327backed Charlton Athletic FC | 66c | 37.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Charlton Athletic FC | 68c | 26.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)this page
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Charlton Athletic FC (-1.5)Ipswich Town FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.