South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Banfield vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd716e3788d02bffa8c7b152f6e16b9fb4f3633a093302dd311a71fdf1323c0fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 5,275$3,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,341.4 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 67c | 1,127$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.52 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 1,072$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.87 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 42c | 944.39$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.24 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 33c | 911.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.45 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Under | 57c | 790.84$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 55c | 499.96$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.98 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Over | 58c | 443.73$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 417.45$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.81 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 47c | 389.43$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.4 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9d24backed Over | 33c | 368$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 31c | 318.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.77 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 32c | 312.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 33c | 302.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.27 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cbf8backed Under | 20c | 249.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 62c | 243.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.79 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 80c | 232.5$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 54c | 186.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.76 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Over | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.82 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 56c | 180.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.17 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 32c | 156.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.24 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 27c | 133.94$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 68c | 117.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Over | 32c | 99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Over | 30c | 90.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 33c | 87.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Over | 32c | 85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…b5febacked Under | 49c | 83.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 46c | 82.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Under | 47c | 74.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Under | 57c | 64.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa404…3ee0backed Over | 48c | 57.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 58c | 42.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked Under | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab50…6e96backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 32c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Under | 68c | 33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 48c | 32.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Under | 68c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Under | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Over | 45c | 28.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4390…e842backed Under | 68c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 47cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…b778backed Under | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Over | 80c | 17.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked Under | 68c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Banfield vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Banfield vs. AA Estudiantes: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Banfield vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Banfield vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Banfield vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.