South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Banfield vs. AA Estudiantes: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x213a152f8d5b3547f9dc6bf47ef060ffcce7ce7383c2a8597f547244e40eafa2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 780.52$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.57 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a9…bc59backed Yes | 36c | 320$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 38c | 261.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.76 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 207.94$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.85 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc891…8a70backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 39c | 134.72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.18 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Yes | 40c | 129$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 39c | 125.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.64 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes | 40c | 121$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…8dccbacked Yes | 39c | 87.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Yes | 40c | 76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed No | 60c | 38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde83…4f99backed Yes | 40c | 36.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked No | 60c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed No | 60c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed No | 60c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.44per pick | 55cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed No | 60c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…667fbacked No | 60c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1b…491fbacked No | 61c | 25.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0314…5781backed No | 61c | 24.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked No | 60c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked No | 60c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f96…a041backed No | 61c | 17.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Banfield vs. AA Estudiantes: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Banfield vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Banfield vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Banfield vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Banfield vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.