South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Banfield vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7746bbabd78e677e21da178c9f4d1b84eac7f6e82c751a42b691d428ed091640
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 2,838$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.6 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 73c | 1,303$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.45 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over | 72c | 1,089$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 61c | 1,058$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.38 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 27c | 772.03$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.47 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 643.65$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.02 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 59c | 336.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.16 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 59c | 258.12$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.83 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 236.24$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 73c | 192.28$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 65c | 149.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Under | 44c | 144.34$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb38…1659backed Over | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Over | 74c | 128.16$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 39c | 110.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Under | 30c | 93.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 40c | 91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Under | 30c | 82.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa404…3ee0backed Over | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Over | 60c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Under | 40c | 43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb56…efa6backed Under | 44c | 36.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Over | 60c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 59cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Over | 60c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Under | 40c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4390…e842backed Over | 60c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed Over | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked Over | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Over | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 77c | 23.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -8.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Over | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 72c | 17.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked Over | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Banfield vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Banfield vs. AA Estudiantes: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Banfield vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Banfield vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Banfield vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.