TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,132
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,614

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,132 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c37,259$22,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,976.642,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Over26c11,000$2,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8603511.4%4 W · 31 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-74.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over46c7,998$3,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,679.1438744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over46c6,136$2,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,837.4611848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under57c5,202$2,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,250.3296942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over46c4,989$2,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,294.9620544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Over57c4,371$2,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.743250%16 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c3,294$1,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,716.611,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under54c3,200$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47245547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over55c3,138$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7124866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc95…c60fbacked Under54c3,042$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.41050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Over25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7503154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c2,262$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.5993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over46c1,578$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.8837250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.9936630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe622…18cabacked Over48c1,177$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over55c911.63$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Over49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over54c810.72$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.793050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over54c756.05$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.7813754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over57c594.56$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.915459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…0803backed Over48c579.69$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under55c514.55$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.552035%7 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23022947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under50c460$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2308957.3%51 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over47c432.91$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.474235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005740.4%23 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa852…d55dbacked Under51c359.67$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.351855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49db…f75bbacked Under67c344.78$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.72475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under52c340.58$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.485658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Under61c329.46$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.499046.7%42 W · 48 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Over57c326.32$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1862944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee39…59bfbacked Over37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12015238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under59c228.71$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7291043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Over50c216.39$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.24060%24 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under57c212.06$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1824849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006936.2%25 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x486b…2eaabacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005554.5%30 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a12…ec08backed Under43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+53.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over54c199.95$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2515253.9%82 W · 70 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over54c195.39$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.514858.3%28 W · 20 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+54.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over46c171$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8559240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over48c146.65$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8417744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Under74c139.55$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.551546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick66cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over35c129.06$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7436852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Over33c122.68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.21723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over20c120$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.739445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over27c120$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.939252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+57.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under52c117.57$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5415045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505754.4%31 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.515623.7%37 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72a2…e265backed Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4710744.9%48 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc75d…5a1dbacked Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.342171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Under43c89.64$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.236439.1%25 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4a7…613abacked Under53c87.5$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.12875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+43.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Over46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010951.4%56 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254727.7%13 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-37.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over18c80$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa122…9847backed Under71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.421872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbb7…99f7backed Over59c68.04$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over22c67.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.725215.4%8 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-48.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under58c66$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8146742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked Over29c65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.651827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over41c60.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2538739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Over45c60.07$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.034351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cbf8backed Over42c59.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.991060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf8b…51f7backed Over48c58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.842259.1%13 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+45.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over37c55.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.515042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over47c55.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2617958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc468…530fbacked Over48c55.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.54616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-75.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Over46c55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.39456.4%53 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3f…3badbacked Over37c44.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e68…3215backed Over56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012946.5%60 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bdf…f939backed Under73c42.36$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.441154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick69cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x216b…8528backed Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4465…baafbacked Over48c41.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over52c40.05$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.673135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.28651.2%44 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Over48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.24146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.413350.4%67 W · 66 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x548f…43b6backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over41c38.18$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.614351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd243…2dcfbacked Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.042875%21 W · 7 L+5.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over53c36.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.375844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc840…0650backed Over46c32.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1540…04e9backed Over47c30.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.21145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf18…7a1abacked Under54c19.56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8a9…22c4backed Under68c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.85078%39 W · 11 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+16.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.