Serie A · resolved market
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35e1068e59fa9f7a9f70e3594ed7110aa55935726fe2c4fe1d44ce4d33d65d21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 37,259$22,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,976.64 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 26c | 11,000$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 46c | 7,998$3,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,679.14 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 46c | 6,136$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837.46 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 57c | 5,202$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.32 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 46c | 4,989$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.96 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Over | 57c | 4,371$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.74 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 3,294$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.61 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 54c | 3,200$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 55c | 3,138$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…c60fbacked Under | 54c | 3,042$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Over | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 2,262$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.59 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 46c | 1,578$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.88 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.99 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…18cabacked Over | 48c | 1,177$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 55c | 911.63$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 54c | 810.72$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.79 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 54c | 756.05$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.78 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 57c | 594.56$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.9 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…0803backed Over | 48c | 579.69$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under | 55c | 514.55$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.55 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 50c | 460$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Over | 47c | 432.91$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.47 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Under | 51c | 359.67$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.35 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49db…f75bbacked Under | 67c | 344.78$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under | 52c | 340.58$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.48 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Under | 61c | 329.46$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.49 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Over | 57c | 326.32$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee39…59bfbacked Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 228.71$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.72 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 50c | 216.39$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.2 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 57c | 212.06$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.18 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…2eaabacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…ec08backed Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 54c | 199.95$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 54c | 195.39$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.51 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 46c | 171$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 48c | 146.65$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Under | 74c | 139.55$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 35c | 129.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 33c | 122.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 27c | 120$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 52c | 117.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…e265backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…5a1dbacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 43c | 89.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…613abacked Under | 53c | 87.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa122…9847backed Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…99f7backed Over | 59c | 68.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 22c | 67.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 58c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Over | 29c | 65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 41c | 60.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 45c | 60.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cbf8backed Over | 42c | 59.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…51f7backed Over | 48c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 37c | 55.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 47c | 55.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Over | 48c | 55.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Over | 46c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3f…3badbacked Over | 37c | 44.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…f939backed Under | 73c | 42.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4465…baafbacked Over | 48c | 41.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over | 52c | 40.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x548f…43b6backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 41c | 38.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 53c | 36.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…0650backed Over | 46c | 32.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1540…04e9backed Over | 47c | 30.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf18…7a1abacked Under | 54c | 19.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…22c4backed Under | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5this page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.