Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56cfae867e0d27b1f52c52d08dded8d63811c43061b01f5db4852297ef1fe12a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- US Sassuolo Calcioof Bologna FC 1909, US Sassuolo Calcio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 76c | 12,452$9,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,998.81 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Bologna FC 1909 | 24c | 7,370$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.41 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Bologna FC 1909 | 24c | 3,600$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 77c | 1,725$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.75 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 25c | 1,147$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.75 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Bologna FC 1909 | 23c | 900$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Bologna FC 1909 | 24c | 700$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 74c | 301.68$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 70c | 299.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 19c | 237.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 76c | 130.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Bologna FC 1909 | 26c | 118.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 75c | 107$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 75c | 96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 75c | 65.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Bologna FC 1909 | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Bologna FC 1909 | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Bologna FC 1909 | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 77c | 58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Bologna FC 1909 | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Bologna FC 1909 | 25c | 47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…1e6ebacked Bologna FC 1909 | 25c | 41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Bologna FC 1909 | 25c | 41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Bologna FC 1909 | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…0a22backed Bologna FC 1909 | 30c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…da1cbacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 72c | 19.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…1361backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 71c | 17.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 74c | 14.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)this page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.