MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c9effec8905e66ec8d95585417e89a6e58765697f4e764ac662ee72f3e44a0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Royals, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $239,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $236,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Padres | 59c | 177,604$104,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,928.5 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Royals | 41c | 60,000$24,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,600 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Royals | 41c | 36,847$15,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,107.37 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Royals | 41c | 35,000$14,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,349.99 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 27c | 15,159$4,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,066.64 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Royals | 39c | 6,866$2,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,675.17 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals | 41c | 3,415$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.94 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Royals | 29c | 2,985$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.21 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Royals | 41c | 2,400$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Royals | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Padres | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.99 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Royals | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.92 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Padres | 79c | 1,962$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.02 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Royals | 30c | 1,813$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4b…c489backed Royals | 41c | 1,756$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Royals | 2c | 1,750$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Royals | 41c | 1,611$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.51 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Padres | 59c | 1,555$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.55 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Royals | 37c | 1,461$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Royals | 7c | 1,373$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Royals | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Royals | 42c | 1,150$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Royals | 14c | 1,020$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Royals | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Royals | 41c | 999.94$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.98 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Royals | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Royals | 35c | 934.18$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.01 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5698…53aebacked Padres | 59c | 898$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe923…e0fabacked Padres | 59c | 858$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d582backed Royals | 40c | 817.98$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.19 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Royals | 41c | 800$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Royals | 4c | 766.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…7a65backed Padres | 60c | 764.86$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.86 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Padres | 79c | 680.14$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.83 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Padres | 62c | 676$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Padres | 59c | 672.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.32 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Padres | 58c | 662.78$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.37 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Royals | 21c | 620.33$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.97 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Royals | 39c | 605.56$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Royals | 39c | 597.4$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.58 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Royals | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Royals | 2c | 561.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Royals | 33c | 516.36$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.02 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Royals | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Royals | 5c | 450$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Padres | 59c | 399.96$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.98 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…336ebacked Padres | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Royals | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…62b8backed Royals | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Royals | 43c | 350.83$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…9bd0backed Royals | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Padres | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Royals | 31c | 300$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.43 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Padres | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Royals | 25c | 278.57$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a4…932dbacked Royals | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Royals | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Royals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Royals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b26…9bc4backed Royals | 23c | 221.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Royals | 39c | 212$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.15 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…6ea1backed Royals | 37c | 207.6$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Royals | 49c | 205.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Royals | 40c | 199.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals | 30c | 191.1$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58df…fdfabacked Padres | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Royals | 40c | 170.51$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Padres | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Padres | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -8.0wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…0777backed Padres | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 60c | 149.74$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.29 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Royals | 42c | 147.62$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3011…4e5cbacked Padres | 76c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…c533backed Royals | 29c | 128.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Padres | 60c | 128.07$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.72 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Royals | 45c | 125.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Padres | 59c | 125$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19c…3e81backed Royals | 24c | 124$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Padres | 71c | 105.85$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Royals | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Royals | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6032…f272backed Padres | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Royals | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Padres | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac46…ca4abacked Padres | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Royals | 28c | 99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Royals | 22c | 98.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Padres | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0f…0536backed Royals | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…1467backed Royals | 39c | 77.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…21febacked Royals | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Padres | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Royals | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Royals | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b48…6d0ebacked Royals | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.