TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Brewers vs. Twins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Brewersof Brewers, Twins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,767
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,910

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,767 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd35e…3a85backed Twins54c9,995$5,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,397.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9093…b928backed Brewers46c9,995$4,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,397.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Brewers80c6,863$5,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.3454941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Twins22c6,678$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.071,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Brewers76c6,333$4,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.521,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fa0…7894backed Brewers45c5,192$2,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,855.597455.4%41 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Twins55c3,524$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.511,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x007b…718cbacked Twins41c3,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e0…8913backed Twins55c2,227$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2257758.4%45 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Twins54c2,200$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18849250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Twins55c2,200$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.9943654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Twins55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9771751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Twins11c1,950$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.51,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa920…c0fdbacked Brewers46c1,870$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Twins2c1,750$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.546631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins53c1,740$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.091,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Twins1c1,500$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.68762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers47c1,364$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.072,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Twins8c1,348$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0445248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Brewers49c1,302$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.8525835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Twins40c1,188$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.52,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Twins22c1,111$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.340547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Twins54c1,101$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.6437446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Brewers45c1,100$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60588549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba41…095cbacked Brewers50c1,094$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.833852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Brewers47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8395930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1878…6f4abacked Brewers68c1,045$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.853145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Twins42c1,040$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4371,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Brewers46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Twins53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53095850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5f7e…d88bbacked Twins54c944$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.76540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf3c…29babacked Twins54c926$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.04616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c4a…15c7backed Twins53c882.81$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4726753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Brewers46c869.57$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.5713450%67 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Twins2c848.35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.35053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Twins53c801.62$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.345,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Twins53c748$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.4427751.3%142 W · 135 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Twins9c603$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.558530.6%26 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Brewers73c595$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.968769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Brewers65c575.39$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.639,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe19…ec9fbacked Twins54c550.91$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe98b…780dbacked Twins56c513.34$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.715151%77 W · 74 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers51c500.64$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.6466645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Brewers46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2703,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f93…e313backed Brewers45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27515543.2%67 W · 88 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcdc…15cabacked Twins53c470.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.627847.4%37 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Brewers66c456.63$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.6353448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Twins9c449.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9955152.5%289 W · 262 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80b1…f64abacked Brewers48c443.75$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.754050%20 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Brewers47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5338455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Twins40c345.1$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9686751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Brewers44c311.95$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.6944443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe25e…0aa5backed Twins55c299.98$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9914549.7%72 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2313…3ee6backed Brewers46c295.65$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.655145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Twins50c250.77$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.451,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Brewers45c241.23$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.744742.6%20 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Brewers45c225$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.7519849.5%98 W · 100 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.222,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers47c214.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.672,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…bd6abacked Brewers47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.777042.9%30 W · 40 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-19.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Brewers48c204.17$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.1734051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71cd…e7c3backed Brewers45c187$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Twins55c183.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Brewers45c178.74$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3123753.2%126 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Twins56c160.71$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9018951.3%97 W · 92 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Brewers74c152$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.465549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Twins9c150$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.754754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9708…925bbacked Brewers45c148.92$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9116643.4%72 W · 94 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ea…e15cbacked Brewers46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4322351.6%115 W · 108 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Twins56c125.97$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1252542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Twins30c115.16$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.644,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Brewers45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.116854.4%37 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f2d…e348backed Brewers50c110$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.718159.1%107 W · 74 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Brewers46c108.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7323444.9%105 W · 129 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Brewers46c107$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.781,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Brewers47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3817037.6%64 W · 106 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Brewers46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e35…c89abacked Twins56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565630.4%17 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Brewers46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed Twins52c99.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5217954.7%98 W · 81 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Twins54c97$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5785047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Twins25c93.69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.451,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Brewers46c92$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.721,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7a…87ebbacked Brewers46c90.41$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.931258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Twins55c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.51,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af5…c533backed Brewers47c89.32$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.344946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fe5…4dafbacked Twins55c87.16$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.94425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd733…dba9backed Brewers47c82.28$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.61425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc3…4febbacked Twins56c73$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b89…23fbbacked Twins15c72.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118237.8%31 W · 51 L-9.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Brewers78c72.2$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8417866.3%118 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5874…a9d7backed Brewers46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2224953%132 W · 117 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1dd1…f170backed Twins56c65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05be…d651backed Twins55c63.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3519849%97 W · 101 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeed1…d086backed Twins55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337655.3%42 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc03…522abacked Brewers47c59.91$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+85.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Twins54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022849.1%112 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc676…f35cbacked Brewers47c53.4$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.325550.2%128 W · 127 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48fb…b900backed Twins55c50.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Brewers66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1738741.1%159 W · 228 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.