La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x557aa9c425b891bbe9265e439ff5d392ac56d8fdd5ac8ee811a3d4c63997a832
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 41c | 999.95$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.97 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +9.8wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 59c | 372.47$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 59c | 225$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.75 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -13.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Under | 33c | 115.84$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.61 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Over | 67c | 114.34$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.61 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…590ebacked Over | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…c5dcbacked Over | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…81a9backed Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…54d3backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…e9eabacked Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.