MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x380dd4fe1e6a1d252416b544aec7d30a3ed54402f311f5e72c27a35aeab92b63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Tigers, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 45c | 5,378$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.36 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Tigers | 59c | 2,585$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.21 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Rays | 40c | 2,532$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.26 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Rays | 33c | 2,493$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.64 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Rays | 44c | 2,259$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rays | 13c | 2,234$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.42 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rays | 49c | 2,094$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.07 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rays | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Tigers | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Tigers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rays | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.97 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Tigers | 51c | 1,871$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.65 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Rays | 50c | 1,868$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 11c | 1,748$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.02 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tigers | 67c | 1,670$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.51 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Tigers | 50c | 1,504$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.24 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Tigers | 50c | 1,436$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.56 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Tigers | 75c | 1,262$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.09 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Rays | 9c | 1,099$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Tigers | 56c | 1,058$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.01 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Rays | 15c | 1,028$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.15 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Rays | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Rays | 51c | 869.42$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Tigers | 38c | 834.21$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.21 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Tigers | 47c | 833.93$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.98 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tigers | 49c | 799.96$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.98 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rays | 50c | 798.4$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.2 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Rays | 48c | 683.12$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.64 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Tigers | 55c | 533.36$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.59 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Tigers | 50c | 495.76$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.76 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Tigers | 49c | 492.71$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.28 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Tigers | 49c | 486.22$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.97 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…27febacked Tigers | 65c | 473.5$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Rays | 51c | 421.67$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tigers | 48c | 413.04$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.78 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays | 39c | 409.05$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.7 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rays | 51c | 406.34$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.23 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Tigers | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Tigers | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Tigers | 75c | 385.5$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.3 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Tigers | 51c | 347.09$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.36 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Tigers | 64c | 341.89$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.08 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Tigers | 78c | 326.77$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.89 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rays | 43c | 322.87$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.06 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Tigers | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…8590backed Rays | 52c | 298.27$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.1 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Rays | 51c | 290.09$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.95 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Rays | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Tigers | 49c | 287.13$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.13 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Tigers | 51c | 278.43$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.43 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b57…d285backed Tigers | 38c | 260$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Rays | 51c | 257.89$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.44 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Tigers | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Rays | 51c | 211.54$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Rays | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…62b8backed Tigers | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rays | 54c | 200$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Tigers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Tigers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Tigers | 51c | 196.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.63 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Tigers | 51c | 196.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.16 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Tigers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…6fd5backed Tigers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Rays | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Rays | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Rays | 52c | 187.9$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.71 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 50c | 185.16$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed Tigers | 56c | 167.27$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…77c9backed Rays | 14c | 160.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Rays | 46c | 145.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b9…b67ebacked Tigers | 49c | 131.35$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Rays | 11c | 128.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6032…f272backed Tigers | 64c | 121.88$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc1…e0fcbacked Rays | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…7602backed Tigers | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rays | 31c | 106.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Rays | 58c | 105.08$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Tigers | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers | 49c | 99.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Tigers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Tigers | 44c | 97.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Tigers | 49c | 93.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Rays | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…3487backed Tigers | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…9ff7backed Tigers | 49c | 71.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7d…d9dfbacked Rays | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rays | 49c | 69.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e3…96d1backed Rays | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…b009backed Rays | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x429b…9c7abacked Tigers | 50c | 63.55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rays | 40c | 59.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Rays | 51c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…f95bbacked Rays | 52c | 55.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…21febacked Rays | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…c255backed Rays | 52c | 43.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f3…fee1backed Rays | 52c | 43.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c95…5825backed Tigers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d2…ee68backed Tigers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.