Asian League · resolved market
Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd50cba209761471fc9f028a2e774222f3dd02827632d7efa9901363cfa0981e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 2,961$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.29 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 72c | 1,958$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.94 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 23c | 828.13$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.29 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Yes | 47c | 531.28$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.7 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +11.6wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 25c | 478.56$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 9c | 440.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 36c | 403$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.06 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 63c | 345.57$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.99 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed Yes | 40c | 310$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Yes | 38c | 261.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 40c | 257.42$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 222.22$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 69c | 213.26$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.58 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Yes | 9c | 199.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 71c | 139.44$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d80…e49fbacked Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 67c | 124.58$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 63c | 120$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 73c | 99.43$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 76c | 99.08$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 68c | 97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 34c | 86.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 24c | 80.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 76c | 76.41$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 33c | 67.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…9257backed Yes | 40c | 63.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…880abacked Yes | 42c | 57.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 56c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 63c | 37.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1db6…fa76backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 72c | 25.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 69c | 19.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-08-15?No won
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-08-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.