CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Phantom Academy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x021e41d34cf407b06c1d26c92a21ef01be0b643e202342e8f78534f1f7aa7193
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BASEMENT BOYSof BASEMENT BOYS, Phantom Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x575a…570ebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 59c | 1,360$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Phantom Academy | 42c | 899.06$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.11 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Phantom Academy | 33c | 659.48$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.35 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…a1e5backed BASEMENT BOYS | 49c | 630.34$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.6 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed BASEMENT BOYS | 59c | 399.99$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Phantom Academy | 54c | 370.67$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.42 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom Academy | 39c | 300$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Phantom Academy | 39c | 250.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.73 | 101 | 29.7%30 W · 71 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Phantom Academy | 45c | 205.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf5…d9f2backed BASEMENT BOYS | 71c | 205.7$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…7691backed Phantom Academy | 37c | 204.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 55c | 204.81$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.01 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dd…b35bbacked Phantom Academy | 57c | 190.83$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5b…d1ddbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 57c | 187.75$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.82 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.1wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed Phantom Academy | 39c | 175.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BASEMENT BOYS | 58c | 175.46$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Phantom Academy | 40c | 175$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…eef7backed Phantom Academy | 47c | 170$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa091…f1c1backed Phantom Academy | 47c | 163$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.31 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed BASEMENT BOYS | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 60c | 139.18$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Phantom Academy | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…7841backed Phantom Academy | 38c | 128.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -11.4wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed BASEMENT BOYS | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Phantom Academy | 38c | 98.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed BASEMENT BOYS | 58c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Phantom Academy | 48c | 77.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 42c | 69.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Phantom Academy | 31c | 59.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Phantom Academy | 36c | 44.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d80…e49fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 79c | 36.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 63c | 34.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 63c | 29.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed BASEMENT BOYS | 61c | 29.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Phantom Academy | 35c | 28.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 235 | 26.4%62 W · 173 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Phantom Academy | 35c | 28.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 26.1%46 W · 130 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked BASEMENT BOYS | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Phantom Academy | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 59c | 16.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Phantom Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group BBASEMENT BOYS won
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Phantom Academy - Map 2 Winner Phantom Academy won
- Map Handicap: BMB (-1.5) vs Phantom Academy (+1.5) Phantom Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.