CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs BakS eSports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83493807bfab5b8a8e2feddd63c7ba673c98f1c15f104ae4ccffa5d2b229ce2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BASEMENT BOYSof BASEMENT BOYS, BakS eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa16b…b541backed BakS eSports | 55c | 2,339$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.43 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcd…0a69backed BakS eSports | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.98 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BASEMENT BOYS | 45c | 1,549$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.1 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed BASEMENT BOYS | 61c | 1,446$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.31 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 45c | 491.35$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.54 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed BASEMENT BOYS | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed BakS eSports | 50c | 316.19$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.61 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…8930backed BakS eSports | 35c | 228.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BakS eSports | 45c | 223.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.37 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1431…94d0backed BakS eSports | 10c | 198.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed BASEMENT BOYS | 45c | 195$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 70c | 160.59$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked BakS eSports | 42c | 151.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed BakS eSports | 49c | 133.46$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad9…caa0backed BakS eSports | 45c | 110.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 77c | 99.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked BASEMENT BOYS | 57c | 94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed BASEMENT BOYS | 45c | 93.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed BASEMENT BOYS | 45c | 92.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed BASEMENT BOYS | 51c | 88.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed BakS eSports | 50c | 82.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed BakS eSports | 33c | 67.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BASEMENT BOYS | 45c | 64.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked BakS eSports | 30c | 63.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed BASEMENT BOYS | 45c | 56.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb0…6cebbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed BASEMENT BOYS | 65c | 48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed BASEMENT BOYS | 45c | 44.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed BASEMENT BOYS | 45c | 44.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d80…e49fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 50c | 36.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 68c | 33.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed BASEMENT BOYS | 53c | 28.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 199 | 53.8%107 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…76b5backed BASEMENT BOYS | 60c | 26.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed BASEMENT BOYS | 66c | 18.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 121 | 76%92 W · 29 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 76c | 17.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs BakS eSports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs BakS eSports - Map 2 WinnerBakS eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.