CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs Brute - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf3d86855a338ad1804e7fc78d4b209050953f21bcbbb3cb0ba6a87ff7f2bc9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruteof eSuba, Brute
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked eSuba | 1c | 1,932$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed eSuba | 58c | 1,688$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.9 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f9…cfd8backed eSuba | 47c | 1,099$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.67 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Brute | 44c | 981.79$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.94 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Brute | 45c | 926.79$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.04 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…694fbacked Brute | 65c | 835.29$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.65 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Brute | 53c | 770.99$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.8 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Brute | 42c | 758.4$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.91 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…6383backed eSuba | 50c | 550$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.7 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked eSuba | 20c | 479.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Brute | 51c | 418.38$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.11 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked Brute | 40c | 401.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.85 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a99…91a9backed eSuba | 34c | 368.81$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed eSuba | 55c | 362.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked eSuba | 53c | 316.4$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.12 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…6019backed eSuba | 53c | 316.09$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.69 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Brute | 60c | 313.62$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.07 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd30b…2acdbacked eSuba | 35c | 282.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked Brute | 39c | 199$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.01 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Brute | 52c | 188.94$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Brute | 49c | 180.75$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.93 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed eSuba | 61c | 165.81$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked eSuba | 62c | 163$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.06 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Brute | 45c | 139.39$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.04 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb140…ce3dbacked eSuba | 74c | 134.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked eSuba | 35c | 134$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…3b45backed Brute | 38c | 130$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked eSuba | 17c | 110.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Brute | 47c | 107.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed eSuba | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Brute | 51c | 82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed Brute | 55c | 79.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d80…e49fbacked eSuba | 61c | 78.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed eSuba | 58c | 66.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed eSuba | 48c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Brute | 43c | 52.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked eSuba | 58c | 46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd2…0985backed Brute | 71c | 41.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked eSuba | 38c | 40.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Brute | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Brute | 80c | 39.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed eSuba | 55c | 36.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed eSuba | 36c | 32.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Brute | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: eSuba vs Brute - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: eSuba vs Brute (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #1 PlayoffsBrute won
- Counter-Strike: eSuba vs Brute - Map 2 WinnerBrute won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.