CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs Brute (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44db204025741004e30b87735d9e0f6825d7513617c87310ef7420b41042ba22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruteof eSuba, Brute
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked eSuba | 26c | 2,879$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.05 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed eSuba | 13c | 1,400$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Brute | 73c | 499.99$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed eSuba | 13c | 393.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed eSuba | 9c | 358.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b1…b851backed eSuba | 21c | 358.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Brute | 73c | 177$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Brute | 73c | 175$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Brute | 77c | 158.98$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed eSuba | 30c | 155$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 199 | 53.8%107 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Brute | 78c | 124.51$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Brute | 73c | 124$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Brute | 73c | 118.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Brute | 74c | 117.49$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed eSuba | 16c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…7817backed eSuba | 21c | 88.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 256 | 35.5%91 W · 165 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed eSuba | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Brute | 73c | 49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked Brute | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Brute | 73c | 17.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed Brute | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 523 | 69.4%363 W · 160 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Brute | 73c | 16.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07d…4ee1backed Brute | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: eSuba vs Brute (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: eSuba vs Brute - Map 1 WinnerBrute won
- Counter-Strike: eSuba vs Brute - Map 2 WinnerBrute won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.