Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FC UNA Strassen (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0517bceb9f93e369483ca4d35a04fd894d492e7d3ff252c52e78973a512cc29f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC UNA Strassenof FC UNA Strassen, SP La Fiorita
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed SP La Fiorita | 64c | 1,416$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.4 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed FC UNA Strassen | 36c | 1,324$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.35 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…2e67backed SP La Fiorita | 65c | 306.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed SP La Fiorita | 63c | 285.25$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.5 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked FC UNA Strassen | 37c | 269.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.59 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked FC UNA Strassen | 39c | 261.22$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.4 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed SP La Fiorita | 64c | 180$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed SP La Fiorita | 59c | 159.54$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.06 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe247…edf1backed SP La Fiorita | 63c | 159.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SP La Fiorita | 10c | 137.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed FC UNA Strassen | 36c | 127$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.28 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC UNA Strassen | 38c | 110$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked FC UNA Strassen | 41c | 109.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked FC UNA Strassen | 37c | 90.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked SP La Fiorita | 64c | 76.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FC UNA Strassen | 38c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed SP La Fiorita | 18c | 67.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked SP La Fiorita | 59c | 49.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed FC UNA Strassen | 37c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed FC UNA Strassen | 37c | 44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…880ebacked SP La Fiorita | 59c | 40.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed SP La Fiorita | 62c | 40.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed FC UNA Strassen | 38c | 39.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked FC UNA Strassen | 37c | 38.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FC UNA Strassen | 38c | 36.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed SP La Fiorita | 65c | 35.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed SP La Fiorita | 62c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed FC UNA Strassen | 39c | 31.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SP La Fiorita | 63c | 26.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…a253backed SP La Fiorita | 62c | 22.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f5…c651backed SP La Fiorita | 64c | 19.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC UNA Strassen (-1.5)this page
- SP La Fiorita vs. FC UNA Strassen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SP La Fiorita vs. FC UNA Strassen: O/U 1.5Over won
- SP La Fiorita vs. FC UNA Strassen: O/U 2.5Under won
- SP La Fiorita vs. FC UNA Strassen: O/U 3.5Under won
- SP La Fiorita vs. FC UNA Strassen: O/U 4.5Under won
- SP La Fiorita vs. FC UNA Strassen: O/U 5.5Under won
- SP La Fiorita vs. FC UNA Strassen: SP La Fiorita O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: FC UNA Strassen (-2.5)SP La Fiorita won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.