MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f83327b96dc1eaf4649193715b3550adaaacbb7b51577f6298412ca7bf39227
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Pittsburgh Pirates, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $511,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $505,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $511,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 108,257$54,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,732.19 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 105,368$36,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,212.09 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 73,770$45,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,770.49 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 37,507$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,506.68 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 34,019$16,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,144.4 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 28,619$14,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,747.99 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 19,713$9,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,802.65 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…da70backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 16,327$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,326.53 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 15,860$8,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,454.38 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 10,673$5,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,122.86 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 10,414$5,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,268.96 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 8,845$4,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,024.62 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 8,566$5,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185.26 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 7,500$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 6,403$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.36 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 6,148$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.54 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 5,107$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.4 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 5,084$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,643.53 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 5,062$2,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.03 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 4,918$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.03 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…7e7ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 4,080$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 3,689$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.52 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 2,736$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.57 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 2,240$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 2,149$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.81 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 2,052$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.69 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 2,011$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.53 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 1,999$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.2 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 26c | 1,757$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.62 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 1,678$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.8 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 1,638$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.5 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,573$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.16 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 1,550$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.17 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…e8a8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 1,535$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 1,500$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.71 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 72c | 1,386$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.11 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,327$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.53 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…34c3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,221$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…ef2cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 1,122$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,072$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.72 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 1,003$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.53 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 998.15$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.86 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 958$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.06 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 929$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.66 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 896.68$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.18 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 769$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.12 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 767.37$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.66 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 745$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.15 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 737$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.43 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…2e67backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 734.83$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.11 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 695.98$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.03 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 691.48$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.29 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 673.07$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.2 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 658.02$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.45 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 546.62$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.18 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 540$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 512.81$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.64 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 508.63$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.83 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 504.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.61 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 503.17$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.17 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 489.34$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.11 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 450.09$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.54 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 418$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.65 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 411.23$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.84 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 385$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.35 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 369.93$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.54 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 337.49$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.12 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 312$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.28 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 303.85$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.81 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 301.79$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.53 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 274.17$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.02 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 270$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 264.22$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.65 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 250$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.03 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 228.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 227.42$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.08 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 217.56$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 215.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.66 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…f4ffbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 211.08$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.21 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabe3…c19abacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 207.7$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.93 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 204.68$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.49 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-4.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.