MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x782d19c493717c65f6099a403fbb9ddb86c217a0c979af3b48c7652f8b5d5321
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Seattle Mariners, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $381,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $364,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $381,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 132,023$61,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,972.94 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 101,337$45,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,857.05 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 25c | 46,259$11,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,481.05 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 37c | 23,348$8,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,719.51 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 30c | 17,644$5,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,365.62 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 13,409$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 11,728$4,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,802.11 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Seattle Mariners | 15c | 7,646$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.04 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Seattle Mariners | 29c | 7,207$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.19 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 4,203$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.08 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 26c | 4,153$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.32 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 3,978$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.71 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 3,796$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.96 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 80c | 3,750$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Seattle Mariners | 37c | 3,348$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.26 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 3,160$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.01 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 2,948$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.27 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 2,785$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.77 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 2,250$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.5 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 2,078$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.3 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Seattle Mariners | 21c | 2,057$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.93 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Seattle Mariners | 10c | 2,027$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.97 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.13 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 76c | 1,212$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.93 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 1,083$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.62 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Seattle Mariners | 18c | 1,056$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Seattle Mariners | 16c | 1,003$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.71 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Seattle Mariners | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 972.6$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.97 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 920.33$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.12 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 905.28$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.96 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Seattle Mariners | 32c | 890$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb89…c7ebbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 80c | 883.59$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.01 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Seattle Mariners | 2c | 871.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…303ebacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 846.88$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.78 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 840.58$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.51 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 799.96$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.98 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 750.98$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.06 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Seattle Mariners | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Seattle Mariners | 30c | 728.53$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.03 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 715.5$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.68 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 714.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.45 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Seattle Mariners | 24c | 703.33$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 673$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.88 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 73c | 650.85$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.73 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Seattle Mariners | 23c | 630.85$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.06 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Seattle Mariners | 24c | 608.54$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.05 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Seattle Mariners | 22c | 600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 583.95$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.65 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 563.48$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.67 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 79c | 560.32$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.62 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 540$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.2 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 527.78$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.65 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Seattle Mariners | 2c | 526.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Seattle Mariners | 25c | 520$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Seattle Mariners | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Seattle Mariners | 22c | 483.26$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.36 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Seattle Mariners | 29c | 467.14$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.05 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Seattle Mariners | 22c | 456.39$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.78 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 77c | 411.03$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.54 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 410$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.1 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Seattle Mariners | 28c | 408.97$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.79 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Seattle Mariners | 28c | 408.33$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.03 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 401.79$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.79 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Seattle Mariners | 27c | 401.36$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.91 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 399.5$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.72 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 75c | 393.59$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 379.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.7 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Seattle Mariners | 33c | 345.59$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.15 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 341.9$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.88 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 333$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.14 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 320$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.2 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 315.09$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.6 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1978…b93abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 77c | 309.98$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 304.97$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.89 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Seattle Mariners | 23c | 287.77$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.19 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 285.24$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.98 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…5f06backed Seattle Mariners | 21c | 272.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…e7c8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 268.86$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.25 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Seattle Mariners | 20c | 260$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 79c | 259$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Seattle Mariners | 30c | 242.4$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Seattle Mariners | 20c | 241.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Seattle Mariners | 25c | 241.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 236.14$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.6 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 218.46$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.52 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 216.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.69 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b16…1290backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 215$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f2…3bc2backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 210$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.