MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b21c51fd409325c3f685a1adf45bc934733fa2fed21d45bff101ab478f5b142
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 50c | 40,315$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,999.83 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 52c | 20,429$10,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,805.83 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 10,675$4,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,737.11 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Under | 65c | 8,995$5,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,113.62 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 52c | 5,350$2,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 4,718$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.76 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 52c | 4,657$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.93 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Under | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 53c | 3,710$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.7 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 3,617$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.18 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 48c | 3,371$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.02 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…6deebacked Over | 50c | 2,894$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.96 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 47c | 2,083$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.81 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 1,643$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.48 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 1,359$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.1 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 1,260$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 47c | 1,185$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.17 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 52c | 1,088$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.23 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 34c | 1,036$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.16 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 37c | 969.68$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.96 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…68f7backed Under | 56c | 902.72$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.64 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 52c | 859.47$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.54 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Under | 79c | 837.27$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.27 | 228 | 67.1%153 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b94…b660backed Over | 49c | 807.17$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.51 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Over | 35c | 793$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.11 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 42c | 750.69$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.67 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Over | 49c | 750$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Under | 63c | 729$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.73 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 52c | 674$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.52 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 51c | 527.58$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.51 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 507.79$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.89 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 506.25$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.54 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 71c | 434.8$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.53 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 44c | 421.75$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.68 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 14c | 407$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 63c | 398.04$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.04 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Over | 21c | 363$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 51c | 311.9$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 311.32$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.55 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 51c | 265.34$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.61 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 49c | 259$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.91 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 44c | 236$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 53c | 195.19$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.92 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729e…a820backed Under | 52c | 192.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Over | 48c | 188.96$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.7 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 55c | 185$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Under | 53c | 182.7$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.87 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Under | 65c | 172.79$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 48c | 161.15$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 49c | 150$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 141$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 48c | 139.96$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 39c | 132$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 129.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 63c | 120$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…8efdbacked Over | 34c | 117$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 48c | 116$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 51c | 109.94$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 42c | 107.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 38c | 99.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 51c | 86.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…6e53backed Under | 37c | 83.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Over | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 47c | 75.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd010…2ee6backed Over | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 31c | 74.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 49c | 71.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 47c | 69.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 52c | 66.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Over | 48c | 65.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 61.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 48c | 61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked Under | 53c | 50.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over | 56c | 48.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 44.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Over | 37c | 42.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Under | 53c | 40.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed Over | 49c | 39.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Under | 51c | 39.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Over | 47c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 48c | 37.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 51c | 32.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…8beebacked Under | 63c | 31.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Over | 44c | 29.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 58c | 28.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…28bdbacked Under | 50c | 28.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…2deebacked Under | 53c | 27.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 179 | 52%93 W · 86 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…781ebacked Under | 51c | 27.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5this page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh Pirates won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.