Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4625a8bdef4cd27356f3d94854d34cd88b1bf8c2776b4f7e6f51b1d4191d0625
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $295,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 42c | 31,248$13,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,147.48 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 28,225$13,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,987.01 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 15,763$4,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,658.87 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 13,698$5,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,535.4 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a79…b1a8backed Yes | 36c | 12,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,680 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 36c | 9,268$3,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,910.18 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 9,044$5,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,765 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 64c | 8,000$5,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,119.97 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 36c | 7,615$2,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,873.6 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 64c | 6,628$4,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,222.87 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 64c | 5,507$3,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.01 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…fff9backed Yes | 36c | 5,414$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,464.89 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 76c | 5,237$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.08 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 64c | 4,730$3,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,027.47 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 8c | 4,304$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.11 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 64c | 4,182$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,667.07 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…577ebacked No | 1c | 4,040$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 64c | 3,500$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.98 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked No | 22c | 3,282$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.07 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 63c | 2,703$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.04 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 25c | 2,466$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.61 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 38c | 2,380$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.97 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 72c | 1,994$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.64 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 37c | 1,935$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.05 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 3c | 1,582$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 27c | 1,400$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.97 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f40…4383backed Yes | 36c | 1,392$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.67 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 64c | 1,375$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.9 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked No | 10c | 1,345$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.15 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x552b…f8bcbacked Yes | 36c | 1,243$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.36 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 37c | 1,058$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.81 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 18c | 1,050$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.73 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…9b21backed No | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de4…fababacked Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 64c | 1,000$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 37c | 994.59$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.59 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 64c | 899.99$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 21c | 876.74$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.94 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c6…4366backed Yes | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 37c | 786$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.18 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 41c | 767.33$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.39 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 34c | 727.5$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.15 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Yes | 60c | 669.1$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.1 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 76c | 656.05$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.38 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 64c | 625$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 20c | 596.48$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.41 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9e…d362backed Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 224 | 36.6%82 W · 142 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Yes | 35c | 523.62$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.35 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 64c | 512$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.68 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 64c | 509.98$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.91 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 64c | 499.9$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.94 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5183…d4dabacked No | 65c | 497.6$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.44 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 15c | 474.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Yes | 43c | 447.52$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.4 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…421bbacked Yes | 33c | 445.45$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.45 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed No | 23c | 418.18$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 384 | 37%142 W · 242 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 27c | 407.41$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 64c | 400$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 370 | 51.4%190 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 64c | 392$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.88 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 64c | 390$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 64c | 389.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.59 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908b…a02abacked Yes | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Yes | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 64c | 384$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.76 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed No | 6c | 379.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 29c | 367.53$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.13 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 8c | 364$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed No | 17c | 359.34$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…14afbacked Yes | 29c | 344.26$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.43 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5353…51b9backed Yes | 30c | 338.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.3 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 64c | 320$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.8 | 353 | 52.7%186 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162e…5f8fbacked Yes | 36c | 307.19$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…dfd5backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 66c | 301.27$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.84 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 64c | 299.91$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.44 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…930ebacked Yes | 34c | 297.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.06 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 64c | 291$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.24 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…a234backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…9fd6backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked No | 22c | 275$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 251 | 25.1%63 W · 188 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 36c | 270$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 283 | 26.5%75 W · 208 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 12c | 263.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 30c | 261.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.66 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0ae7backed Yes | 36c | 258.33$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.33 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…c922backed Yes | 36c | 250.47$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.3 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 38c | 242$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.96 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked No | 28c | 236.44$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 455 | 36.9%168 W · 287 L | -26.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 64c | 226.55$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 56c | 221.15$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.91 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 12c | 211.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40b…9ab4backed No | 19c | 208.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 336 | 53.3%179 W · 157 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 343 | 51.9%178 W · 165 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 36c | 188.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.89 | 161 | 31.7%51 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 38c | 176.29$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Yes | 35c | 160.37$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 450 | 38.2%172 W · 278 L | -28.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland leading at halftime?this page
- Algeria leading at halftime?No won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.