Fifa International · resolved market
Algeria leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31b1a056a65430b34394e75d432feb0a8737bc5897e4207c3d8651adf571917e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 26,535$3,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,572.96 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9340…ae1dbacked Yes | 3c | 6,814$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Yes | 20c | 5,121$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 18c | 3,728$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.13 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 18c | 3,499$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.8 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x552b…f8bcbacked Yes | 3c | 3,436$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 18c | 3,379$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.71 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed No | 80c | 3,150$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 3c | 2,500$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 19c | 2,469$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.19 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Yes | 24c | 2,105$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 19c | 1,888$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.66 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…9e97backed No | 80c | 1,506$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.09 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…467abacked Yes | 19c | 1,316$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…9fd6backed Yes | 37c | 971.53$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.06 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb70…be84backed Yes | 19c | 873.68$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 20c | 863.05$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.16 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea2…f26dbacked Yes | 4c | 550$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…ae45backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 251 | 15.5%39 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…186bbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4372…6a96backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 269 | 21.6%58 W · 211 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 18c | 499.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…7451backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 472.54$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Yes | 18c | 424.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Yes | 24c | 420.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 233 | 36.9%86 W · 147 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Yes | 6c | 393.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 19c | 382.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.35 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…b153backed Yes | 3c | 375$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +77%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 78c | 349.45$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 3c | 342.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 7c | 329.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 77c | 317$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc337…5984backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 196 | 18.4%36 W · 160 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 77c | 251$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.47 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 80c | 250.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 80c | 240.39$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 289 | 45.3%131 W · 158 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40b…9ab4backed Yes | 21c | 238.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 16c | 215.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 7c | 208.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 7c | 179$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 79c | 174.97$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 75c | 174$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…e92abacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…dd6bbacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 22.3%23 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…0098backed Yes | 20c | 148$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 235 | 40.9%96 W · 139 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…7ff9backed Yes | 19c | 113.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66bb…cd52backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 331 | 23.6%78 W · 253 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 238 | 38.7%92 W · 146 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 75c | 98.2$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 235 | 58.3%137 W · 98 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 78c | 80.01$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe382…f187backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…3c02backed Yes | 19c | 73.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x974b…076ebacked Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked No | 79c | 57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 345 | 40.3%139 W · 206 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 20c | 51.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 377 | 47.7%180 W · 197 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1882…1af4backed No | 80c | 50.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc874…e0c8backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5472…ba01backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…9e15backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 80c | 48.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 79c | 23.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked No | 77c | 15.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Algeria leading at halftime?this page
- Switzerland leading at halftime?Yes won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.