TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,146
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,070

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,146 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Over52c18,552$9,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,936.0911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c15,156$7,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,280.9110,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under48c14,494$6,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,944.561,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under50c13,907$6,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,953.3171650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under50c11,972$5,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,9861,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00036246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over50c6,656$3,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,326.932,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over51c6,095$3,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,963.914,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Over51c4,001$2,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.4845445.2%205 W · 249 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under48c3,500$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68048952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c3,392$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,674.66,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Under51c2,941$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50039953.6%214 W · 185 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Under51c2,941$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50038551.4%198 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over52c2,619$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.393,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over51c2,535$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2481,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Under49c2,163$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.8629147.1%137 W · 154 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x312a…be1abacked Under1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Under49c1,700$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8338739.1%34 W · 53 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over53c1,600$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75287750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Over52c1,600$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76864452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over52c1,579$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.782,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over52c1,152$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5508,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc279…6465backed Under50c755.14$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.574250%21 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over51c698$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.021,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under48c475.1$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.094,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over52c456$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.121,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under48c437.66$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.021,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c436.07$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.058,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20025751.8%133 W · 124 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.362774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.2wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+37.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa871…3932backed Over53c324.08$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.323100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over52c309.91$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.841,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14156253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Under51c278.13$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8528751.9%149 W · 138 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…e183backed Over52c269.23$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.233847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x835b…118fbacked Over50c250$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1246538.5%25 W · 40 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over44c217.44$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.952,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x402a…624fbacked Over51c190$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0522949.8%114 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ae…3a89backed Over53c185.18$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.034257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Over51c168$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0929350.9%149 W · 144 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Over52c155.58$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6847350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f45…e6a7backed Under51c147.05$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756454.7%35 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Over53c146$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.166155.7%34 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over52c130$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.42,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over52c111$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9879955.9%447 W · 352 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over52c106.94$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.45,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6158…81bcbacked Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475541.8%23 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4854146.8%253 W · 288 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5934255.3%189 W · 153 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over42c83.97$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7140446.5%188 W · 216 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under54c83.33$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4547549.7%236 W · 239 L+17.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b4…1306backed Over52c82.69$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.694146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x841f…ad4bbacked Over52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.921637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Under47c72.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.327252.9%144 W · 128 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe49f…03acbacked Under51c69.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.367651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe0a…b267backed Over52c61.04$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.312154.5%66 W · 55 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under49c59.87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.141,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041249.5%204 W · 208 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdfc…6690backed Over54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.561968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2547652.9%252 W · 224 L+17.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over53c45.48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.381,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed Over54c45.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7910351.5%53 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Over49c41.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.145252.4%237 W · 215 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbcb…65fcbacked Under51c40.85$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8311852.5%62 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a25…443fbacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under51c39.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.382,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Over49c39.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3812343.1%53 W · 70 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe761…8a64backed Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over52c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4313345.9%61 W · 72 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under50c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.534846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over72c32.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0847446.6%221 W · 253 L+26.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x472e…f338backed Over52c23.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.084247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Under50c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.522352.5%117 W · 106 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e1b…aa71backed Over50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1110048%48 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Under50c21.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.615841.8%66 W · 92 L-12.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8652…93cebacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Over51c19.88$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.749755.7%54 W · 43 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed Over52c19.36$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2927244.9%122 W · 150 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.